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EnderronFlag.svg

2014 ← 15 September 2018 → 2022

All 150 seats in the Enderronian Parliament
76 seats needed for a majority
Turnout 18,773,549 (94.67%) (Increase2.png 2.40pp)
LisaKelseyChan.jpg MattEriksen.jpg MartinBrooks.jpg
Leader Lisa Kelsey Chan Matt Eriksen Martin Brooks
Party Social Democrats Liberal National
Leader since 3 November 2015 16 June 2016 17 January 2003
Leader's seat Taylor (NP) Hannigan (WE) Fairfax (FL)
Last election 74 seats, 35.52% 67 seats, 38.70% 6 seats, 4.99%
Seats won 87 51 7
Seat change Increase2.png 13 Decrease2.png 16 Increase2.png 1
Popular vote 7,113,298 6,093,894 1,150,819
Percentage 37.89% 32.46% 6.13%
Swing Increase2.png 2.37pp Decrease2.png 6.24pp Increase2.png 1.14pp
TPP 53.32% 46.68%
TPP swing Increase2.png 2.34pp Decrease2.png 2.34pp

KellyTan.jpg JimRonaldRalph.png IsabellaBjornstad.jpg
Leader Kelly Tan Jim Ronald Ralph Isabella Bjornstad
Party Greens Democrats Pirate
Leader since 11 May 2017 19 August 2006 4 October 2016
Leader's seat Wentworth (WE) Contested Jenkins (WS) (lost) Carrera (NP)
(won seat)
Last election 1 seat, 8.11% 1 seat, 9.49% New party
Seats won 2 1 1
Seat change Increase2.png 1 Steady2.png 0 Increase2.png 1
Popular vote 2,012,524 1,214,649 488,112
Percentage 10.72% 6.47% 2.26%
Swing Increase2.png 2.61pp Decrease2.png 3.02pp Increase2.png 2.26pp

EnderronElectionMap2018.png
Winning party by electorate

Prime Minister before election Elected Prime Minister
Lisa Kelsey Chan
Social Democrats
Lisa Kelsey Chan
Social Democrats

A federal election was held in Enderron on Saturday 15 September 2018 to elect the 150 members of the 19th Enderronian Parliament.

The incumbent Social Democratic Party minority government, led by Prime Minister Lisa Kelsey Chan, was re-elected, winning a substantial outright majority and defeating the opposition Liberal Party of Enderron, led by Matt Eriksen. The Social Democratic Party gained 13 seats to finish with its highest number of seats since 1998. Conversely, the Liberals lost 16 seats for a total of 51, and suffered a swing of more than 6 percent, in the party's worst result since it was formed in 2000. Several seats held by the Liberal Party and its predecessors for decades, particularly in the southern prefectures, fell to the Social Democrats. Most notably, the Social Democrats won a majority of the seats in Lawrencia Prefecture for the first time since 1994.

Several minor parties also made a strong showing, in particular the Enderronian Greens, the Enderron National Party and the new Pirate Party Enderron. Pirate Party leader Isabella Bjornstad was elected to become her party's sole MP. The Greens and Nationals also made slight gains in both popular vote and seats. The Enderron Democrats lost a third of their vote but narrowly retained their one seat.

Despite the Liberals' poor showing, Eriksen declared he would stay on as leader. He would go on to lose the leadership to his deputy Macey Novakova in a leadership spill in July 2019.

Results

87 5 7 51
Social Democrats Oth Nat Liberal
EP2018.svg
Party Votes % Swing Seats +/−
Social Democrats 7,113,298 37.89 Increase2.png 2.37 87 Increase2.png 13
Liberal 6,093,894 32.46 Decrease2.png 6.24 51 Decrease2.png 16
Greens 2,012,524 10.72 Increase2.png 2.61 2 Increase2.png 1
Democrats 1,214,649 6.47 Decrease2.png 3.02 1 Steady2.png 0
National 1,150,819 6.13 Increase2.png 1.14 7 Increase2.png 1
Pirate 488,112 2.26 Increase2.png 2.26 1 Increase2.png 1
Other 764,083 4.07 Increase2.png 0.88 1 Steady2.png 0
Two-party-preferred vote
Social Democrats 10,010,056 53.32 Increase2.png 2.34 87 Increase2.png 13
Liberal 8,763,493 46.68 Decrease2.png 2.34 51 Decrease2.png 16
Total 18,773,549 100 150

Independents: Michelle Gallagher

First preference vote
Social Democrats
  
37.89%
Liberal
  
32.46%
Greens
  
10.72%
Democrats
  
6.47%
National
  
6.13%
Pirate
  
2.26%
Other
  
4.07%
Two-party-preferred vote
Social Democrats
  
53.32%
Liberal
  
46.68%
Seats in Parliament
Social Democrats
  
58.00%
Liberal
  
34.00%
National
  
4.67%
Greens
  
1.33%
Other
  
2.00%

Seats changing hands

Seat 2014 election Swing 2018 election
Party Member Margin Margin Member Party
Brooklyn, JZ Liberal Gladys Nielson 4.42 –5.66 1.24 Kristine Oakley Social Democrats
Carrera, NP Liberal Harper Leong 9.41 –11.15 1.74 Isabella Bjornstad Pirate
Cook, PL Liberal Jackson Brough 1.44 –2.70 1.26 John Rudd Social Democrats
East Lynn, NP Liberal Heather Lansberry 0.37 –3.84 3.47 Jocelyn Storer Greens
Epping, NP Liberal Fred Sherry 4.96 –5.03 0.07 Carolyn Harrison Social Democrats
Epsom, NS Liberal Neil Wells 6.14 –7.49 1.45 Tom Kennett Social Democrats
Essendon, FL Liberal Tomiko Kanda 2.72 –5.72 3.00 Brett Langley Social Democrats
Kingston, NP Liberal Hailey Gillam 0.67 –6.41 5.74 Jeremy Mitschke Social Democrats
Macquarie, KA Liberal Peter Shuman 3.41 –5.94 2.53 Charlie Knight National
Meiling Bay, JZ Liberal Alyssa Liu 1.43 –1.55 0.12 Jim Powell Social Democrats
Rockingham North, CO Independent[1] Tim Boxhall 4.75 N/A 0.80 Greg Dalton Social Democrats
Seven Mile, PL Liberal Nicholas Laferriere 5.51 –7.65 2.14 Tina Kothari Social Democrats
Stanley, LR Liberal Jeremy Wansey 7.50 –9.98 2.48 Jacqui Mander Social Democrats
Sunnyvale, WS Liberal Brian Reisman 2.11 –6.38 4.27 Ivan Hawthorn Social Democrats
Watford, PL Liberal Don Dansby 3.85 –10.53 6.68 Steph Barris Social Democrats
Wollstonecraft, LR Liberal Jason Harding 7.24 –8.79 1.55 Chris Alcroft Social Democrats

Pendulum

SOCIAL DEMOCRATIC SEATS (87)
Marginal
Epping (NP) Carolyn Harrison SDP 0.07
Meiling Bay (JZ) Jim Powell SDP 0.12
West Lynn (NP) Terri Scott SDP 0.23 v GRN
Akagi (TJ) Satsuki Minami SDP 0.35
Rockingham Nth (CO) Greg Dalton SDP 0.80
Rhinehart (WE) Raymond Sen SDP 0.88 v GRN
Brooklyn (JZ) Kristine Oakley SDP 1.24
Cook (PL) John Rudd SDP 1.26
Epsom (NS) Tom Kennett SDP 1.45
Wollstonecraft (LR) Chris Alcroft SDP 1.55
Hexham (NP) Tristen Zhang SDP 1.75
Forrest (MA) Michael Fergerson SDP 2.01 v ENP
Seven Mile (PL) Tina Kothari SDP 2.14
Palmerston West (LS) Omar Wahed SDP 2.15
Stanley (LR) Jacqui Mander SDP 2.48
MacDonnell (WE) Damian Firestone SDP 2.77
Essendon (FL) Brett Langley SDP 3.00
St Claire (PL) Sydney Wieling SDP 3.30 v GRN
Wolseley (NS) Lisa Day SDP 3.79
Forsythia (NS) William Dewitt SDP 3.84
Gibson (PL) Magi Kukowski SDP 4.01
Sunnyvale (WS) Ivan Hawthorn SDP 4.27
Nakamura (TJ) Rin Fujiwara SDP 4.48
Kitaoka (TJ) James Tsuji SDP 4.51
Castlebrook (WE) Phil Bancroft SDP 4.67
Mulherin (LS) Li Min Jiang SDP 4.99
Nord (WS) David Henneman SDP 5.24
Fuller (WS) Jodie Scanlon SDP 5.66
Burwood (NP) Robert Mahon SDP 5.72
Kingston (NP) Jeremy Mitschke SDP 5.74
Fairly safe
Griffith (NC) Julie Shaloub SDP 6.20
Mizuoka (KA) Jack Lotus SDP 6.53
Watford (PL) Steph Barris SDP 6.68
Reed (WE) Kendra Lu SDP 7.06
Hacking (NS) Emma Pryor SDP 7.19
Jingcheng (LS) Anika Kwok SDP 7.20 v ENP
Queenstown (NS) Geri Campanelli SDP 7.41
Coburn (NS) Sally Jean Marquette SDP 7.91
Endeavour (CO) Thomas van Veen SDP 8.14
Jackson (WE) Ross Deng SDP 8.28
Southend (WS) Justine Perry SDP 8.87
Thorpe (JZ) Maria Sabol SDP 9.02
Parnell (WE) Nathan Folley SDP 9.57
Palmerston East (LS) Terry Lenihan SDP 9.60
Torrens (WE) David Zeng SDP 9.98 v GRN
Safe
Lyndhurst (NS) Marco Chiung SDP 10.12
Grey (NS) Kurt Sidoti SDP 10.36
Durston (TJ) Alison Tsuji SDP 10.47
Stewart (NP) Rick Perras SDP 11.43
Port William (WS) Ziggy Duggan SDP 11.58
Karburgh (NC) Alex Banuelos SDP 12.03
Berkeley (PL) Bob Crouch SDP 12.44
Chung'an (LS) Kelly Donovan Carter SDP 12.58
Higashi (TJ) Naomi Takahashi SDP 12.95
Kin Loong (SY) Pavel Kyung SDP 13.08
Kensington (WE) Ben Janik SDP 13.49
Lewisham (NP) Carli O'Hara SDP 13.69
Taralga (KA) Colleen Scrivener SDP 13.78
Devon (PL) Kate Salguero SDP 14.04
Shirakawa C (TJ) Yukiko Hirata SDP 14.10 v TFP
Bexley (WE) Kiana Stone SDP 14.68
Lighthorse (PL) Nate Kirkby SDP 14.88
Dover (NC) Tim Lunday SDP 15.16
Nanshan (LS) Lily Chen SDP 15.58
Strachan (NS) Ronald Siu SDP 15.99
Shangzhou (LS) Frank Nguyen SDP 16.00
Heathbridge (WE) Scott Birkholz SDP 16.23
Rockingham Sth (CO) Nick Fenech SDP 16.75
Monash (NS) Steve Lomas SDP 17.07
Taylor (NP) Lisa Kelsey Chan SDP 17.32
Nishihama (TJ) Liz Coure SDP 17.62
Harvey (TJ) Megan Wang SDP 17.97
Rosslea (JZ) Leon McCullough SDP 18.34
Sutherland (MA) James Radovich SDP 19.02
Leightonfield (NS) Mary Castilleja SDP 19.32
Pollock (NP) Corey Woo SDP 19.90
Very safe
Linden (WE) Kim Flowers SDP 20.51
Nottingham (MA) Edison Chee SDP 20.63
Cheltenham (CO) Mike Woods SDP 21.53
Shirakawa South (TJ) Hiroko Layton SDP 21.58
Denison (JZ) Mari Lee SDP 21.87
Douglas (NP) Mark Serio SDP 22.33
Woodleigh (NS) Candice Smith SDP 23.62
Reedijk (CO) Jason Vickery SDP 24.10 v DEM
Victoria (PL) Jennifer Williamson SDP 24.25
Charlestown (NC) Stephanie Wilder SDP 24.97
Anderson (WE) Tony Yang SDP 26.16
LIBERAL SEATS (51)
Marginal
Prince Edward (KA) Jerri Mei-Lin Wei LPE 0.02
Olympia (WE) John Kelch LPE 0.31
Orange (WS) Michael Turnbull LPE 0.61
Braddon (NS) Noel Lafontant LPE 1.25
Jenkins (WS) Tom Callahan LPE 1.42
Sjoberg (WE) Paul Wagner LPE 2.48
Franklin (WE) Linda Tran LPE 2.50
Duyfken (SY) Georgia Higgs LPE 2.51
Kamijima (TJ) Richard Akiyama LPE 3.28
Taiping (LS) Phillip Wilkie LPE 4.59
Dawson (PL) Lily Miraglia LPE 4.99
Hannigan (WE) Matt Eriksen LPE 5.65
Fairly safe
Shellbourne (NP) Kari Dyck LPE 6.23
Thompson (WE) Andrew Kittinger LPE 6.24
Hawthorne (PL) Luke Barrientos LPE 6.84
Mayfair (CO) Ed Calderon LPE 7.00
Rochester (NP) Rose Bradshaw LPE 7.15
Itabashi (TJ) Adrian Fenner LPE 7.89
Whetstone (WE) Jared Flint LPE 8.10
Oxley (CO) Sam Cormack LPE 8.77
Druitt (CO) Syreeta Kapoor LPE 8.90
Normanhurst (CO) Emily Gothardt LPE 9.23
Rijkens (TJ) Nick Pisano LPE 9.34
Richmond (FL) Lauren Schrantz LPE 9.84
Safe
Burleigh (NP) Melissa Oakes LPE 10.42
Bayswater (WE) Kim Jamison LPE 10.73
Jansen (WE) Tamara Everett LPE 11.13
New England (JZ) Chris Buckley LPE 11.43
Dykstra (WE) Davina Charon LPE 12.55
Marshall Bay (CO) Dora Jiang LPE 12.98 v ENP
White Beach (NP) Sharon Ritworth LPE 13.14
Southcott (WE) Vincent Muller LPE 13.31
Middle Range (WS) Tyson Parker LPE 14.10
Warwick (FL) Theo Stefanos LPE 14.76
Keppel (NS) Kate Poole LPE 14.80
Roscoe (WS) Brian Keogh LPE 15.70
Ashbrook (FL) Niall Nguyen LPE 16.24
Campbell (FL) John Taggart LPE 16.25
Kawayama (TJ) Emily Song LPE 17.43
Minato (TJ) Marilyn Richards LPE 17.66
Docklands (WE) Craig Ahlquist LPE 18.24
Aston (NP) Tom Gargiulo LPE 18.82 v GRN
Harrison (AV) Macey Novakova LPE 18.89
Cowper (WS) Daniel Hartin LPE 19.27
Rock Valley (NS) Dominic Chao LPE 19.54
Very safe
Mackenzie (AV) Tom Wellington LPE 20.44
Wilson (CO) Jo Brigman LPE 21.35
Arlington (LR) Ronny Maliszewski LPE 22.20 v ENP
Lyons (AV) Donna Pasquariello LPE 22.84
Hamilton (WS) Nicole Meaney LPE 23.00
Brighton (WE) Gemma Smith LPE 27.24
CROSSBENCH SEATS (12)
Scott (CO) Pauline Morrison DEM 0.44 v LPE
Carrera (NP) Isabella Bjornstad PPE 1.74 v SDP
Macquarie (KA) Charlie Knight ENP 2.53 v LPE
East Lynn (NP) Jocelyn Storer GRN 3.47 v SDP
Goulburn (KA) Michelle Gallagher IND 4.32 v LPE
Dalton (MA) Spencer Bartell ENP 7.11 v SDP
Mount Gilbert (MA) Kylie Moore ENP 8.67 v LPE
Kennedy (WS) Ian Gillard ENP 10.70 v LPE
Wentworth (WE) Kelly Tan GRN 12.46 v SDP
Fairfax (FL) Martin Brooks ENP 13.42 v LPE
Greenberg (GB) Mike Weitzman ENP 18.85 v SDP
Sierra (SA) Vince Stanton ENP 22.89 v SDP


Opinion polling

Graphical summary

A 3-point average trend line of aggregate primary vote poll results since the previous election, with each line corresponding to a political party.

A 3-point average trend line of aggregate two-party-preferred vote poll results since the previous election; red – Social Democrats, blue – Liberals

Poll results

Date Primary vote TPP vote
LP SDP Dem Grn ENP Oth Lead LP SDP
Election 32.46 37.89 6.47 10.72 6.13 6.33 5.43 46.68 53.32
14 Sep 2018 32 38 6 11 6 7 6 45 55
13 Sep 2018 33 37 6 10 6 8 4 46 54
12 Sep 2018 32 37 7 10 7 7 5 46 54
11 Sep 2018 32 36 6 11 6 9 4 46 54
10 Sep 2018 33 36 7 12 6 6 3 46 54
9 Sep 2018 32 35 6 12 6 9 3 46 54
8 Sep 2018 32 36 5 11 6 10 4 46 54
7 Sep 2018 31 36 6 11 6 10 5 45 55
6 Sep 2018 31 37 5 12 5 10 6 44 56
5 Sep 2018 32 38 6 12 6 6 6 45 55
4 Sep 2018 31 38 6 12 5 8 7 44 56
3 Sep 2018 33 37 6 12 6 6 4 46 54
2 Sep 2018 33 38 5 11 5 8 5 45 55
1 Sep 2018 32 38 5 11 6 8 6 45 55
31 Aug 2018 33 39 5 12 5 6 6 44 56
30 Aug 2018 34 38 4 11 5 8 4 46 54
29 Aug 2018 34 39 5 10 6 6 5 46 54
28 Aug 2018 33 38 5 10 5 9 5 45 55
27 Aug 2018 33 37 6 10 5 9 4 46 54
26 Aug 2018 34 37 6 9 5 9 3 47 53
25 Aug 2018 35 38 6 10 5 6 3 47 53
24 Aug 2018 33 38 6 11 6 6 5 45 55
23 Aug 2018 34 39 7 11 6 3 5 45 55
22 Aug 2018 35 38 7 11 6 3 3 46 54
21 Aug 2018 35 35 6 12 5 7 Tie 47 53
20 Aug 2018 34 34 7 11 5 9 Tie 48 52
19 Aug 2018 37 35 8 11 5 4 2 49 51
18 Aug 2018 37 35 7 11 5 5 2 49 51
17 Aug 2018 36 36 8 11 4 5 Tie 48 52
16 Aug 2018 36 36 8 12 5 3 Tie 48 52
15 Aug 2018 37 36 9 12 5 1 1 48 52
14 Aug 2018 38 35 8 12 5 2 3 49 51
13 Aug 2018 37 35 9 11 4 4 2 49 51
12 Aug 2018 36 34 9 12 5 4 2 49 51
11 Aug 2018 37 35 9 11 4 4 2 49 51
4 Aug 2018 36 36 8 11 5 4 Tie 48 52
28 Jul 2018 36 36 7 11 5 5 Tie 48 52
21 Jul 2018 36 37 8 11 6 2 1 48 52
14 Jul 2018 37 36 8 10 4 5 1 49 51
7 Jul 2018 36 36 8 9 5 6 Tie 49 51
30 Jun 2018 35 34 9 10 5 7 1 49 51
23 Jun 2018 36 34 9 9 5 7 2 50 50
16 Jun 2018 35 34 9 10 4 8 1 49 51
9 Jun 2018 35 33 10 9 6 7 2 50 50
2 Jun 2018 35 34 10 9 4 8 1 49 51
26 May 2018 34 33 9 9 5 10 1 49 51
19 May 2018 34 35 10 10 4 7 1 48 52
12 May 2018 34 34 9 9 5 9 Tie 49 51
5 May 2018 35 34 8 10 4 9 1 49 51
28 Apr 2018 35 33 9 10 5 8 2 49 51
21 Apr 2018 36 32 10 11 5 6 4 50 50
14 Apr 2018 36 32 10 10 4 8 4 50 50
7 Apr 2018 36 32 9 10 4 9 4 50 50
31 Mar 2018 37 31 9 11 5 7 6 51 49
24 Mar 2018 36 31 9 10 4 10 5 51 49
17 Mar 2018 36 31 10 10 3 10 5 51 49
10 Mar 2018 37 32 10 11 3 7 5 51 49
3 Mar 2018 36 31 9 11 3 10 5 50 50
24 Feb 2018 36 31 11 10 2 10 5 51 49
17 Feb 2018 36 32 11 10 3 8 4 50 50
10 Feb 2018 35 33 12 9 3 8 2 50 50
3 Feb 2018 36 32 12 10 3 7 4 51 49
27 Jan 2018 37 33 12 10 3 5 4 51 49
20 Jan 2018 37 34 11 9 3 6 3 50 50
13 Jan 2018 37 35 13 10 3 2 2 50 50
6 Jan 2018 37 35 12 9 2 5 2 50 50

References

  1. Tim Boxhall was elected as a Liberal MP in 2006, but left that party in 2017 to sit as an independent.
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