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|-
 
|-
 
| align="left" style="width: 25%"|[[Enderronian federal election, 1998|1998]] ←
 
| align="left" style="width: 25%"|[[Enderronian federal election, 1998|1998]] ←
| colspan="2" style="text-align: center; width: 50%"|'''21 September 2002'''
+
| colspan="2" style="text-align: center; width: 50%"|'''19 October 2002'''
 
| align="right" style="width: 25%"|→ [[Enderronian federal election, 2006|2006]]
 
| align="right" style="width: 25%"|→ [[Enderronian federal election, 2006|2006]]
 
|-
 
|-
Line 101: Line 101:
 
| align="right" colspan="2" style="width: 25%"|[[Wally Koepke]]<br />[[Liberal Party of Enderron|Liberal]]
 
| align="right" colspan="2" style="width: 25%"|[[Wally Koepke]]<br />[[Liberal Party of Enderron|Liberal]]
 
|}
 
|}
A '''federal election''' was held in [[Enderron]] on Saturday 21 September 2002 to elect the 150 members of the 15th [[Enderronian Parliament]].
+
A '''federal election''' was held in [[Enderron]] on Saturday 19 October 2002 to elect the 150 members of the 15th [[Enderronian Parliament]].
   
The result was a hung parliament (the first since [[Enderronian federal election, 1986|1986]]). The incumbent third-term [[Social Democratic Party of Enderron|Social Democratic Party]] government, led by Prime Minister [[Rick Clarkson]], suffered a 19-seat swing and lost 5.13 percent on two-party-preferred terms against the new [[Liberal Party of Enderron]], led by [[Wally Koepke]]. The [[Enderron National Party]] ended up being the kingmaker, with neither the SDP nor Liberals mathematically being able to govern without the support of the party. After one week of negotiations, the National Party decided to agreed to form a coalition with the Liberal Party, with leader [[Jack Whitham]] becoming [[Deputy Prime Minister of Enderron|Deputy Prime Minister]]. Thus, this election marked the end of the 12-year [[Vandenberg Government|Vandenberg]]–[[Clarkson Government|Clarkson]] Social Democratic Government.
+
The result was a hung parliament, the first since [[Enderronian federal election, 1986|1986]]. The incumbent third-term [[Social Democratic Party of Enderron|Social Democratic Party]] government, led by Prime Minister [[Rick Clarkson]], suffered a loss of 19 seats and a 5.13 percent swing on two-party-preferred terms against the newly amalgamated [[Liberal Party of Enderron]], led by [[Wally Koepke]] and formed by the merger between the [[Conservative Party (Enderron)|Conservative Party]] and the [[Liberal Democrats (Enderron)|Liberal Democrats]]. The [[Enderron National Party]] ended up being the kingmaker, with neither the SDP nor Liberals mathematically being able to govern without the support of the party. After one week of negotiations, the National Party agreed to form a coalition with the Liberal Party, with leader [[Jack Whitham]] becoming [[Deputy Prime Minister of Enderron|Deputy Prime Minister]]. Thus, this election marked the end of the 12-year [[Vandenberg Government|Vandenberg]]–[[Clarkson Government|Clarkson]] Social Democratic Government.
  +
  +
In the months leading up to the election, the Social Democrats held a narrow but steady lead in opinion polling, and the election result was expected to be a slim majority government for the party. In the final weeks of the election campaign, the poll results tightened and most analysts predicted a hung parliament, which proved to be the case in the final result. The Liberals managed to edge out a one-seat plurality, winning 70 seats to the Social Democrats' 69. With neither party winning a majority, both turned to the agrarian National Party for negotiations. The Liberals initially refused to serve in a coalition, insisting on leading a minority government with confidence and supply from the Nationals, but relented after the Nationals threatened to force a snap election to break the deadlock. It was the first such coalition government since [[Enderronian federal election, 1986|1986]] and only the third in Enderronian history (excluding the wartime coalition governments of 1914–1916 and 1940–1945).
   
 
==Results==
 
==Results==
Line 241: Line 243:
 
{{bar percent|Independent|#D6D6D6|1.33}}
 
{{bar percent|Independent|#D6D6D6|1.33}}
 
}}
 
}}
  +
  +
===Results by prefecture===
  +
{| class="wikitable" style="margin: auto; text-align: right; font-size: 10pt;"
  +
! colspan="3"|Party
  +
! WE
  +
! NS
  +
! CO
  +
! NP
  +
! TJ
  +
! PL
  +
! WS
  +
! FL
  +
! JZ
  +
! LS
  +
! KA
  +
! MA
  +
! NC
  +
! LR
  +
! SY
  +
! SA
  +
! GB
  +
! Total
  +
|-
  +
| rowspan="2" {{linebox3|lpe|}}
  +
| rowspan="2" align="left"|[[Liberal Party of Enderron|Liberal]]
  +
| Seats:
  +
| '''12'''
  +
| '''4'''
  +
| '''7'''
  +
| '''8'''
  +
| '''6'''
  +
| '''5'''
  +
| '''5'''
  +
| '''7'''
  +
| '''3'''
  +
| '''3'''
  +
| '''2'''
  +
| '''3'''
  +
| '''1'''
  +
| '''3'''
  +
| '''1'''
  +
| '''0'''
  +
| '''0'''
  +
| '''70'''
  +
|-
  +
| Vote:
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
| 38.71
  +
|-
  +
| rowspan="2" {{linebox3|sdpe|}}
  +
| rowspan="2" align="left"|[[Social Democratic Party of Enderron|Social Democrats]]
  +
| Seats:
  +
| '''11'''
  +
| '''12'''
  +
| '''7'''
  +
| '''6'''
  +
| '''7'''
  +
| '''7'''
  +
| '''2'''
  +
| '''1'''
  +
| '''4'''
  +
| '''4'''
  +
| '''2'''
  +
| '''1'''
  +
| '''4'''
  +
| '''0'''
  +
| '''1'''
  +
| '''0'''
  +
| '''0'''
  +
| '''69'''
  +
|-
  +
| Vote:
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
| 41.47
  +
|-
  +
| rowspan="2" {{linebox3|enp|}}
  +
| rowspan="2" align="left"|[[Enderron National Party|National]]
  +
| Seats:
  +
| '''0'''
  +
| '''0'''
  +
| '''0'''
  +
| '''0'''
  +
| '''0'''
  +
| '''0'''
  +
| '''3'''
  +
| '''1'''
  +
| '''0'''
  +
| '''0'''
  +
| '''2'''
  +
| '''1'''
  +
| '''0'''
  +
| '''0'''
  +
| '''0'''
  +
| '''1'''
  +
| '''1'''
  +
| '''9'''
  +
|-
  +
| Vote:
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
| 6.20
  +
|-
  +
| rowspan="2" {{linebox3|none|}}
  +
| rowspan="2" align="left"|Other
  +
| Seats:
  +
| '''0'''
  +
| '''1'''
  +
| '''0'''
  +
| '''0'''
  +
| '''0'''
  +
| '''0'''
  +
| '''1'''
  +
| '''0'''
  +
| '''0'''
  +
| '''0'''
  +
| '''0'''
  +
| '''0'''
  +
| '''0'''
  +
| '''0'''
  +
| '''0'''
  +
| '''0'''
  +
| '''0'''
  +
| '''2'''
  +
|-
  +
| Vote:
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
| 13.62
  +
|-
  +
| style="background-color: #F2F2F2" colspan="3" align="left"|Total seats
  +
| style="background-color: #F2F2F2"| '''23'''
  +
| style="background-color: #F2F2F2"| '''17'''
  +
| style="background-color: #F2F2F2"| '''14'''
  +
| style="background-color: #F2F2F2"| '''14'''
  +
| style="background-color: #F2F2F2"| '''13'''
  +
| style="background-color: #F2F2F2"| '''12'''
  +
| style="background-color: #F2F2F2"| '''11'''
  +
| style="background-color: #F2F2F2"| '''9'''
  +
| style="background-color: #F2F2F2"| '''7'''
  +
| style="background-color: #F2F2F2"| '''7'''
  +
| style="background-color: #F2F2F2"| '''6'''
  +
| style="background-color: #F2F2F2"| '''5'''
  +
| style="background-color: #F2F2F2"| '''5'''
  +
| style="background-color: #F2F2F2"| '''3'''
  +
| style="background-color: #F2F2F2"| '''2'''
  +
| style="background-color: #F2F2F2"| '''1'''
  +
| style="background-color: #F2F2F2"| '''1'''
  +
| style="background-color: #F2F2F2"| '''150'''
  +
|}
  +
  +
===Results by region===
  +
{| class="wikitable" style="margin: auto; text-align: right; font-size: 10pt;"
  +
! colspan="3"|Party
  +
! Central
  +
! West
  +
! East
  +
! North
  +
! Total
  +
|-
  +
| rowspan="2" {{linebox3|lpe|}}
  +
| rowspan="2" align="left"|[[Liberal Party of Enderron|Liberal]]
  +
| Seats:
  +
| '''35'''
  +
| '''19'''
  +
| '''11'''
  +
| '''5'''
  +
| '''70'''
  +
|-
  +
| Vote:
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
| 38.71
  +
|-
  +
| rowspan="2" {{linebox3|sdpe|}}
  +
| rowspan="2" align="left"|[[Social Democratic Party of Enderron|Social Democrats]]
  +
| Seats:
  +
| '''40'''
  +
| '''10'''
  +
| '''13'''
  +
| '''6'''
  +
| '''69'''
  +
|-
  +
| Vote:
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
| 41.47
  +
|-
  +
| rowspan="2" {{linebox3|enp|}}
  +
| rowspan="2" align="left"|[[Enderron National Party|National]]
  +
| Seats:
  +
| '''0'''
  +
| '''4'''
  +
| '''1'''
  +
| '''4'''
  +
| '''9'''
  +
|-
  +
| Vote:
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
| 6.20
  +
|-
  +
| rowspan="2" {{linebox3|none|}}
  +
| rowspan="2" align="left"|Other
  +
| Seats:
  +
| '''1'''
  +
| '''1'''
  +
| '''0'''
  +
| '''0'''
  +
| '''2'''
  +
|-
  +
| Vote:
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
|
  +
| 13.62
  +
|-
  +
| style="background-color: #F2F2F2" colspan="3" align="left"|Total seats
  +
| style="background-color: #F2F2F2"| '''76'''
  +
| style="background-color: #F2F2F2"| '''34'''
  +
| style="background-color: #F2F2F2"| '''25'''
  +
| style="background-color: #F2F2F2"| '''15'''
  +
| style="background-color: #F2F2F2"| '''150'''
  +
|}
   
 
===Seats changing hands===
 
===Seats changing hands===
Line 260: Line 554:
 
| Social Democrats
 
| Social Democrats
 
| ''[[Jack Saito]]''
 
| ''[[Jack Saito]]''
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|0.10
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|4.49
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|4.39
 
| [[Ayumi Nishikawa]]
 
| [[Ayumi Nishikawa]]
 
| Liberal
 
| Liberal
Line 271: Line 565:
 
| Liberal
 
| Liberal
 
| [[Michael Zehnder]]
 
| [[Michael Zehnder]]
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|0.94
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|N/A
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|3.87
 
| [[Geoff Martin]]
 
| [[Geoff Martin]]
 
| Independent
 
| Independent
Line 282: Line 576:
 
| Social Democrats
 
| Social Democrats
 
| [[Jonathan Lee]]
 
| [[Jonathan Lee]]
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|7.70
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|9.37
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|1.67
 
| [[Michelle Evans]]
 
| [[Michelle Evans]]
 
| Liberal
 
| Liberal
Line 293: Line 587:
 
| Social Democrats
 
| Social Democrats
 
| [[James Simmons]]
 
| [[James Simmons]]
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|5.50
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|6.66
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|1.16
 
| [[Kyle Melman]]
 
| [[Kyle Melman]]
  +
| Liberal
  +
| {{linebox3|lpe|}}
  +
|-
  +
| [[Electoral district of Campbell|Campbell, FL]]
  +
| {{linebox3|none|}}
  +
| Independent
  +
| [[George Roussos]]
  +
| align="right"|3.17
  +
| align="right"|N/A
  +
| align="right"|7.64
  +
| [[John Taggart]]
 
| Liberal
 
| Liberal
 
| {{linebox3|lpe|}}
 
| {{linebox3|lpe|}}
Line 304: Line 609:
 
| Liberal
 
| Liberal
 
| ''notional – new seat''
 
| ''notional – new seat''
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|4.52
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|9.17
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|4.65
 
| [[Dan Renwick]]
 
| [[Dan Renwick]]
 
| Social Democrats
 
| Social Democrats
Line 315: Line 620:
 
| Social Democrats
 
| Social Democrats
 
| [[Roy Tennyson]]
 
| [[Roy Tennyson]]
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|0.93
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|8.95
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|8.02
 
| [[Andrew Armstrong]]
 
| [[Andrew Armstrong]]
 
| Liberal
 
| Liberal
Line 326: Line 631:
 
| Social Democrats
 
| Social Democrats
 
| [[Roger Caines]]
 
| [[Roger Caines]]
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|6.08
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|10.85
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|4.77
 
| [[Angela Walker]]
 
| [[Angela Walker]]
 
| Liberal
 
| Liberal
Line 337: Line 642:
 
| Social Democrats
 
| Social Democrats
 
| [[Colin McDonough]]
 
| [[Colin McDonough]]
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|1.81
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|9.65
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|7.84
 
| [[Linda Bergstrom]]
 
| [[Linda Bergstrom]]
 
| Liberal
 
| Liberal
Line 348: Line 653:
 
| Social Democrats
 
| Social Democrats
 
| [[Russ Jackson]]
 
| [[Russ Jackson]]
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|3.23
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|6.89
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|3.36
 
| [[Barden Wu]]
 
| [[Barden Wu]]
 
| Liberal
 
| Liberal
Line 359: Line 664:
 
| Liberal
 
| Liberal
 
| ''[[Florence Kennett]]''
 
| ''[[Florence Kennett]]''
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|5.91
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|6.62
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|0.71
 
| [[Kate Salguero]]
 
| [[Kate Salguero]]
 
| Social Democrats
 
| Social Democrats
Line 370: Line 675:
 
| Social Democrats
 
| Social Democrats
 
| [[Christine Sokolowski]]
 
| [[Christine Sokolowski]]
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|0.53
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|6.24
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|5.71
 
| [[Craig Ahlquist]]
 
| [[Craig Ahlquist]]
 
| Liberal
 
| Liberal
Line 381: Line 686:
 
| Social Democrats
 
| Social Democrats
 
| [[Ben Horgan]]
 
| [[Ben Horgan]]
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|2.23
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|2.60
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|0.37
 
| [[Margaret Bayliss]]
 
| [[Margaret Bayliss]]
 
| Liberal
 
| Liberal
Line 392: Line 697:
 
| Social Democrats
 
| Social Democrats
 
| ''[[Lionel Wicks]]''
 
| ''[[Lionel Wicks]]''
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|13.23
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|13.50
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|0.27
 
| [[Heather Lansberry]]
 
| [[Heather Lansberry]]
 
| Liberal
 
| Liberal
Line 403: Line 708:
 
| Social Democrats
 
| Social Democrats
 
| ''[[Mike Miyagi]]''
 
| ''[[Mike Miyagi]]''
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|5.47
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|5.50
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|0.03
 
| [[Kevin Motta]]
 
| [[Kevin Motta]]
 
| Liberal
 
| Liberal
Line 414: Line 719:
 
| Social Democrats
 
| Social Democrats
 
| [[Michelle Lawrie]]
 
| [[Michelle Lawrie]]
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|2.20
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|N/A
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|2.37
 
| [[Pete Bartlett]]
 
| [[Pete Bartlett]]
 
| National
 
| National
Line 425: Line 730:
 
| Liberal
 
| Liberal
 
| ''notional – new seat''
 
| ''notional – new seat''
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|6.96
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|12.66
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|5.70
 
| [[Rick Silberman]]
 
| [[Rick Silberman]]
 
| National
 
| National
Line 436: Line 741:
 
| Liberal
 
| Liberal
 
| ''notional – new seat''
 
| ''notional – new seat''
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|4.41
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|5.68
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|1.27
 
| [[Rhys Marnell]]
 
| [[Rhys Marnell]]
 
| Social Democrats
 
| Social Democrats
Line 447: Line 752:
 
| Social Democrats
 
| Social Democrats
 
| [[Murph Hackett]]
 
| [[Murph Hackett]]
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|4.96
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|5.13
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|0.17
 
| [[Alex Kastelan]]
 
| [[Alex Kastelan]]
 
| Liberal
 
| Liberal
Line 458: Line 763:
 
| Social Democrats
 
| Social Democrats
 
| [[Robert Weis]]
 
| [[Robert Weis]]
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|0.89
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|6.64
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|5.75
 
| [[Stephen Vella]]
 
| [[Stephen Vella]]
 
| Liberal
 
| Liberal
Line 469: Line 774:
 
| Social Democrats
 
| Social Democrats
 
| [[Karen Hara]]
 
| [[Karen Hara]]
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|8.17
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|9.24
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|1.07
 
| [[Amy Austen]]
 
| [[Amy Austen]]
 
| Liberal
 
| Liberal
Line 480: Line 785:
 
| Social Democrats
 
| Social Democrats
 
| ''notional – new seat''
 
| ''notional – new seat''
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|2.65
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|3.41
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|0.76
 
| [[Greg Henrickson]]
 
| [[Greg Henrickson]]
 
| Liberal
 
| Liberal
Line 491: Line 796:
 
| Social Democrats
 
| Social Democrats
 
| [[Harry White]]
 
| [[Harry White]]
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|3.36*
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|3.54
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|0.18
 
| [[David Woodhouse]]
 
| [[David Woodhouse]]
 
| Liberal
 
| Liberal
Line 502: Line 807:
 
| Liberal
 
| Liberal
 
| [[Jerry McCartney]]
 
| [[Jerry McCartney]]
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|2.52
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|4.64
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|2.12
 
| [[Marjorie Beckett]]
 
| [[Marjorie Beckett]]
 
| Social Democrats
 
| Social Democrats
Line 513: Line 818:
 
| Social Democrats
 
| Social Democrats
 
| [[Damian Firestone]]
 
| [[Damian Firestone]]
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|2.24
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|3.54
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|1.30
 
| [[John Ifeanyi]]
 
| [[John Ifeanyi]]
 
| Liberal
 
| Liberal
Line 524: Line 829:
 
| Social Democrats
 
| Social Democrats
 
| ''[[Marjorie Beckett]]''
 
| ''[[Marjorie Beckett]]''
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|2.92
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|N/A
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|1.44
 
| [[John Maine]]
 
| [[John Maine]]
 
| National
 
| National
Line 535: Line 840:
 
| Liberal
 
| Liberal
 
| [[Mark Connors]]
 
| [[Mark Connors]]
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|5.11
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|N/A
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|1.43
 
| [[Scott Rogerson]]
 
| [[Scott Rogerson]]
 
| National
 
| National
Line 546: Line 851:
 
| Social Democrats
 
| Social Democrats
 
| [[Paul Jovanovski]]
 
| [[Paul Jovanovski]]
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|3.63
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|5.49
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|1.86
 
| [[Julia Zhou]]
 
| [[Julia Zhou]]
 
| Liberal
 
| Liberal
Line 557: Line 862:
 
| National
 
| National
 
| [[Eric Wojtczak]]
 
| [[Eric Wojtczak]]
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|5.31
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|N/A
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|1.00
 
| [[Tom Tuckerman]]
 
| [[Tom Tuckerman]]
 
| Liberal
 
| Liberal
Line 568: Line 873:
 
| Social Democrats
 
| Social Democrats
 
| [[Justin Pence]]
 
| [[Justin Pence]]
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|3.88
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|4.78
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|0.90
 
| [[Carl Wang]]
 
| [[Carl Wang]]
 
| Liberal
 
| Liberal
Line 579: Line 884:
 
| Social Democrats
 
| Social Democrats
 
| [[Sandra Wouters]]
 
| [[Sandra Wouters]]
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|1.69
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|6.56
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|4.87
 
| [[Michael Turnbull]]
 
| [[Michael Turnbull]]
 
| Liberal
 
| Liberal
Line 590: Line 895:
 
| Social Democrats
 
| Social Democrats
 
| [[Steve Dallen]]
 
| [[Steve Dallen]]
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|1.01
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|2.25
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|1.24
 
| [[Gladys Yung]]
 
| [[Gladys Yung]]
 
| Liberal
 
| Liberal
Line 601: Line 906:
 
| Social Democrats
 
| Social Democrats
 
| ''notional – new seat''
 
| ''notional – new seat''
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|3.79
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|5.47
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|1.68
 
| [[Tony Santoro]]
 
| [[Tony Santoro]]
  +
| Liberal
  +
| {{linebox3|lpe|}}
  +
|-
  +
| [[Electoral district of Seven Mile|Seven Mile, PL]]
  +
| {{linebox3|sdpe|}}
  +
| Social Democrats
  +
| [[Al Howard]]
  +
| align="right"|3.05
  +
| align="right"|4.89
  +
| align="right"|1.84
  +
| [[Joe Sandgren]]
 
| Liberal
 
| Liberal
 
| {{linebox3|lpe|}}
 
| {{linebox3|lpe|}}
Line 612: Line 928:
 
| Social Democrats
 
| Social Democrats
 
| ''notional – new seat''
 
| ''notional – new seat''
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|5.85
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|7.44
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|1.59
 
| [[Ethan Grajales]]
 
| [[Ethan Grajales]]
 
| Liberal
 
| Liberal
Line 623: Line 939:
 
| Social Democrats
 
| Social Democrats
 
| [[Kristy Hawke]]
 
| [[Kristy Hawke]]
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|2.36
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|6.20
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|3.84
 
| [[Theo Stefanos]]
 
| [[Theo Stefanos]]
 
| Liberal
 
| Liberal
 
| {{linebox3|lpe|}}
 
| {{linebox3|lpe|}}
 
|-
 
|-
| [[Electoral district of West Lynn|West Lynn]]
+
| [[Electoral district of West Lynn|West Lynn, NP]]
 
| {{linebox3|none|}}
 
| {{linebox3|none|}}
 
| Independent
 
| Independent
| [[Hsiung Kuan-lin]]
+
| [[Kuan-lin Hsiung]]
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|0.75
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|N/A
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|7.04
 
| [[Colin Andersen]]
 
| [[Colin Andersen]]
 
| Social Democrats
 
| Social Democrats
Line 645: Line 961:
 
| Social Democrats
 
| Social Democrats
 
| [[Robert Mahon]]
 
| [[Robert Mahon]]
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|0.15
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|3.72
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|3.57
 
| [[Mark Ruddock]]
 
| [[Mark Ruddock]]
 
| Liberal
 
| Liberal
Line 656: Line 972:
 
| Social Democrats
 
| Social Democrats
 
| [[Angus Lee]]
 
| [[Angus Lee]]
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|3.76
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|7.86
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|4.10
 
| [[Pat Landon]]
 
| [[Pat Landon]]
 
| Liberal
 
| Liberal
Line 667: Line 983:
 
| Social Democrats
 
| Social Democrats
 
| [[Brian Morphett]]
 
| [[Brian Morphett]]
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|6.75
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|9.63
| align="right"|
+
| align="right"|2.88
 
| [[Gabriel Brusse]]
 
| [[Gabriel Brusse]]
 
| Liberal
 
| Liberal
 
| {{linebox3|lpe|}}
 
| {{linebox3|lpe|}}
  +
|}
  +
  +
*[[Electoral district of Kingston|Kingston, NP]], was won by [[Alexander Tam]] of the Social Democrats at the previous election, but he resigned in 1999 and was succeeded by [[Harry White]] at the ensuing [[Kingston by-election, 1999|by-election]]. The margin listed above is the by-election margin.
  +
  +
===Analysis of results===
  +
The election result was a hung parliament for the first time since 1986, which coincidentally was also the last time a conservative government came to power.
  +
  +
The Liberals gained many seats in areas previously considered relatively strong for the Social Democrats, especially in urban areas. The party won a majority of seats in [[Wentworth]] and [[New Plymouth]] for the first time since 1962 and 1966 respectively. The Liberals also made significant inroads into [[Eastern Enderron]], and won a seat in [[New Colorado Prefecture|New Colorado]] for the first time since 1986.
  +
  +
==Background==
  +
===Parties===
  +
{| class="wikitable" style="margin: auto; text-align: left; font-size: 10pt;"
  +
! rowspan="2" colspan="2"|Name
  +
! rowspan="2"|Ideology
  +
! rowspan="2"|Party leader
  +
! colspan="2"|Seats
  +
|-
  +
! 1998 result
  +
! At dissolution
  +
|-
  +
| {{linebox3|sdpe|}}
  +
| [[Social Democratic Party of Enderron|Social Democratic Party]]
  +
| Social democracy
  +
| [[Rick Clarkson]]
  +
| <div style="width: 100px;"><span class="nowrap">{{formatnum:{{{1|88}}}}} / {{formatnum:{{{2|140}}}}}{{#if:{{{per|}}}|&emsp;({{#expr:(({{{1|88}}}/{{{2|140}}})*100) round 0}}%)}}</span><div style="border: 1px solid #aaa; {{#if:{{{background-color|}}}|background-color: {{{background-color}}};}} height: 1em; position: relative;"><div style="background-color: {{#if:{{Both|{{{4|}}}|{{{5|}}}}}
  +
| {{{hex|{{{3|#D11117}}}}}}
  +
}}; width: {{#expr:(({{{1|88}}}/{{{2|140}}})*100) round 0}}%; height: 1em;"></div></div></div>
  +
| <div style="width: 100px;"><span class="nowrap">{{formatnum:{{{1|88}}}}} / {{formatnum:{{{2|140}}}}}{{#if:{{{per|}}}|&emsp;({{#expr:(({{{1|88}}}/{{{2|140}}})*100) round 0}}%)}}</span><div style="border: 1px solid #aaa; {{#if:{{{background-color|}}}|background-color: {{{background-color}}};}} height: 1em; position: relative;"><div style="background-color: {{#if:{{Both|{{{4|}}}|{{{5|}}}}}
  +
| {{{hex|{{{3|#D11117}}}}}}
  +
}}; width: {{#expr:(({{{1|88}}}/{{{2|140}}})*100) round 0}}%; height: 1em;"></div></div></div>
  +
|-
  +
| {{linebox3|lpe|}}
  +
| [[Liberal Party of Enderron|Liberal Party]]
  +
| Conservative liberalism
  +
| [[Wally Koepke]]
  +
| <div style="width: 100px;"><span class="nowrap">{{formatnum:{{{1|45}}}}} / {{formatnum:{{{2|140}}}}}{{#if:{{{per|}}}|&emsp;({{#expr:(({{{1|45}}}/{{{2|140}}})*100) round 0}}%)}}</span><div style="border: 1px solid #aaa; {{#if:{{{background-color|}}}|background-color: {{{background-color}}};}} height: 1em; position: relative;"><div style="background-color: {{#if:{{Both|{{{4|}}}|{{{5|}}}}}
  +
| {{{hex|{{{3|#0069B4}}}}}}
  +
}}; width: {{#expr:(({{{1|45}}}/{{{2|140}}})*100) round 0}}%; height: 1em;"></div></div></div>
  +
| <div style="width: 100px;"><span class="nowrap">{{formatnum:{{{1|42}}}}} / {{formatnum:{{{2|140}}}}}{{#if:{{{per|}}}|&emsp;({{#expr:(({{{1|42}}}/{{{2|140}}})*100) round 0}}%)}}</span><div style="border: 1px solid #aaa; {{#if:{{{background-color|}}}|background-color: {{{background-color}}};}} height: 1em; position: relative;"><div style="background-color: {{#if:{{Both|{{{4|}}}|{{{5|}}}}}
  +
| {{{hex|{{{3|#0069B4}}}}}}
  +
}}; width: {{#expr:(({{{1|42}}}/{{{2|140}}})*100) round 0}}%; height: 1em;"></div></div></div>
  +
|-
  +
| {{linebox3|enp|}}
  +
| [[Enderron National Party]]
  +
| Agrarianism
  +
| [[Jack Whitham]]
  +
| <div style="width: 100px;"><span class="nowrap">{{formatnum:{{{1|5}}}}} / {{formatnum:{{{2|140}}}}}{{#if:{{{per|}}}|&emsp;({{#expr:(({{{1|5}}}/{{{2|140}}})*100) round 0}}%)}}</span><div style="border: 1px solid #aaa; {{#if:{{{background-color|}}}|background-color: {{{background-color}}};}} height: 1em; position: relative;"><div style="background-color: {{#if:{{Both|{{{4|}}}|{{{5|}}}}}
  +
| {{{hex|{{{3|#246B32}}}}}}
  +
}}; width: {{#expr:(({{{1|5}}}/{{{2|140}}})*100) round 0}}%; height: 1em;"></div></div></div>
  +
| <div style="width: 100px;"><span class="nowrap">{{formatnum:{{{1|6}}}}} / {{formatnum:{{{2|140}}}}}{{#if:{{{per|}}}|&emsp;({{#expr:(({{{1|6}}}/{{{2|140}}})*100) round 0}}%)}}</span><div style="border: 1px solid #aaa; {{#if:{{{background-color|}}}|background-color: {{{background-color}}};}} height: 1em; position: relative;"><div style="background-color: {{#if:{{Both|{{{4|}}}|{{{5|}}}}}
  +
| {{{hex|{{{3|#246B32}}}}}}
  +
}}; width: {{#expr:(({{{1|6}}}/{{{2|140}}})*100) round 0}}%; height: 1em;"></div></div></div>
  +
|-
  +
| {{linebox3|none|}}
  +
| Independents<ref>Independents who sat in Parliament as of the end of the parliamentary term were [[Jack Berg]], [[Kuan-lin Hsiung]], [[Alan Lasseter]] and [[George Roussos]].</ref>
  +
| –
  +
| –
  +
| <div style="width: 100px;"><span class="nowrap">{{formatnum:{{{1|2}}}}} / {{formatnum:{{{2|140}}}}}{{#if:{{{per|}}}|&emsp;({{#expr:(({{{1|2}}}/{{{2|140}}})*100) round 0}}%)}}</span><div style="border: 1px solid #aaa; {{#if:{{{background-color|}}}|background-color: {{{background-color}}};}} height: 1em; position: relative;"><div style="background-color: {{#if:{{Both|{{{4|}}}|{{{5|}}}}}
  +
| {{{hex|{{{3|#A6A6A6}}}}}}
  +
}}; width: {{#expr:(({{{1|2}}}/{{{2|140}}})*100) round 0}}%; height: 1em;"></div></div></div>
  +
| <div style="width: 100px;"><span class="nowrap">{{formatnum:{{{1|4}}}}} / {{formatnum:{{{2|140}}}}}{{#if:{{{per|}}}|&emsp;({{#expr:(({{{1|4}}}/{{{2|140}}})*100) round 0}}%)}}</span><div style="border: 1px solid #aaa; {{#if:{{{background-color|}}}|background-color: {{{background-color}}};}} height: 1em; position: relative;"><div style="background-color: {{#if:{{Both|{{{4|}}}|{{{5|}}}}}
  +
| {{{hex|{{{3|#A6A6A6}}}}}}
  +
}}; width: {{#expr:(({{{1|4}}}/{{{2|140}}})*100) round 0}}%; height: 1em;"></div></div></div>
  +
|}
  +
  +
===Previous election===
  +
The Social Democratic Party, which had governed Enderron since [[Enderronian federal election, 1990|1990]], was re-elected with a convincing majority at the [[Enderronian federal election, 1998|1998 federal election]] against the Conservative Party and Liberal Democrats, which had formed an [[Conservative–Liberal Alliance|electoral alliance]] in 1997.
  +
  +
===Parliamentary term===
  +
Having been defeated in a landslide at two consecutive elections, the Conservatives under leader Wally Koepke rallied for a full merger with the smaller Liberal Democrats to avoid further cannibalising the centre-right vote, and to counter the impact of the far-right [[Enderron Democrats]]. This merger eventually occurred in February 2000, with the two parties amalgamating to become the Liberal Party of Enderron.
  +
  +
The Social Democrats enjoyed a significant honeymoon period following their re-election, but support steadily decreased throughout 1999 and the party's lead had all but evaporated by April 2000, thanks to dissatisfaction with government's economic reform program and increasing petrol prices. The SDP experienced mixed results at a series of by-elections in 1999, winning the seat of [[Electoral district of Taiping|Taiping]] back from the opposition Conservatives, but losing [[Electoral district of Rockingham South|Rockingham South]] to a left-wing independent and suffering negative swings in [[Electoral district of Kingston|Kingston]] and [[Electoral district of Denison|Denison]]. Clarkson's attempts at introducing a goods and services tax (GST) and a tax hike for wealthier Enderronians were particularly unpopular. The Liberal Party took a small lead in the polls and largely retained such a lead until late 2001, when public opinion swung back towards the Social Democrats following the [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/September_11_attacks September 11 attacks] and Enderron's entry into the [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_in_Afghanistan_(2001%E2%80%932021) War in Afghanistan].
  +
  +
===Retiring MPs===
  +
{| class="wikitable" style="margin: auto; text-align: left; font-size: 10pt;"
  +
! Name
  +
! colspan="2"|Party
  +
! Seat
  +
! Reason
  +
! Term in office
  +
|-
  +
| [[Samantha Belgrave]]
  +
| rowspan="12" {{linebox3|sdpe|}}
  +
| rowspan="12"|[[Social Democratic Party of Enderron|Social Democrats]]
  +
| [[Electoral district of Tanshui|Tanshui, JZ]]
  +
| Retirement
  +
| 1994–2002
  +
|-
  +
| [[Ray Desmond]]
  +
| [[Electoral district of Cunningham|Cunningham, SY]]<ref>Electorate abolished</ref>
  +
| Lost preselection
  +
| 1994–2002
  +
|-
  +
| [[Richard Gaiser]]
  +
| [[Electoral district of Torrens|Torrens, WE]]
  +
| Retirement
  +
| 1978–2002
  +
|-
  +
| [[Jenny Gillespie]]
  +
| [[Electoral district of Kitaoka|Kitaoka, TJ]]
  +
| Retirement
  +
| 1994–2002
  +
|-
  +
| [[John Gillmartin]]
  +
| [[Electoral district of Linden|Linden, WE]]
  +
| Retirement
  +
| 1990–2002
  +
|-
  +
| [[Jim Halston]]
  +
| [[Electoral district of Shirakawa South|Shirakawa South, TJ]]
  +
| Retirement
  +
| 1950–2002
  +
|-
  +
| [[Simon Kempton]]
  +
| [[Electoral district of Essendon|Essendon, FL]]
  +
| Retirement
  +
| 1990–2002
  +
|-
  +
| [[Wendy Kuroda]]
  +
| [[Electoral district of Hayakita|Hayakita, TJ]]
  +
| Retirement
  +
| 1993–2002
  +
|-
  +
| [[Jack Saito]]
  +
| [[Electoral district of Akagi|Akagi, TJ]]
  +
| Retirement
  +
| 1982–1986, 1994–2002
  +
|-
  +
| [[Michael Jianguo Wang|Michael J. Wang]]
  +
| [[Electoral district of Douglas|Douglas, NP]]
  +
| Retirement
  +
| 1992–2002
  +
|-
  +
| [[Stephanie Whedon]]
  +
| [[Electoral district of Endeavour|Endeavour, CO]]
  +
| Retirement
  +
| 1994–2002
  +
|-
  +
| [[Lionel Wicks]]
  +
| [[Electoral district of West Lynn|West Lynn, NP]]
  +
| Retirement
  +
| 1970–2002
  +
|-
  +
| [[Frederick Bosman]]
  +
| rowspan="6" {{linebox3|lpe|}}
  +
| rowspan="6"|[[Liberal Party of Enderron|Liberal]]
  +
| [[Electoral district of Arlington|Arlington, LR]]
  +
| Retirement
  +
| 1962–2002
  +
|-
  +
| [[Jonathan Coker]]
  +
| [[Electoral district of Formosa|Formosa, JZ]]
  +
| Lost preselection
  +
| 1994–2002
  +
|-
  +
| [[Ashley Garrison]]
  +
| [[Electoral district of Rock Valley|Rock Valley, NS]]
  +
| Retirement
  +
| 1994–2002
  +
|-
  +
| [[Florence Kennett]]
  +
| [[Electoral district of Devon|Devon, PL]]
  +
| Retirement
  +
| 1994–2002
  +
|-
  +
| [[Hank Murdoch]]
  +
| [[Electoral district of Yamaguchi|Yamaguchi, TJ]]
  +
| Retirement
  +
| 1994–2002
  +
|-
  +
| [[Dominic Whyte]]
  +
| [[Electoral district of Kawayama|Kawayama, TJ]]
  +
| Retirement
  +
| 1994–2002
  +
|-
  +
| [[Darrell Dexter]]
  +
| {{linebox3|enp|}}
  +
| [[Enderron National Party|National]]
  +
| [[Electoral district of Sierra|Sierra, SA]]
  +
| Retirement
  +
| 1982–1986, 1995–2002
  +
|}
  +
  +
===Changes in parliamentary composition===
  +
{| class="wikitable" style="margin: auto; text-align: left; font-size: 10pt;"
  +
! rowspan="2"|Seat
  +
! colspan="3"|Before
  +
! colspan="3"|Change
  +
! colspan="3"|After
  +
|-
  +
! Member
  +
! colspan="2"|Party
  +
! Type
  +
! Reason
  +
! Date
  +
! Member
  +
! colspan="2"|Party
  +
|-
  +
| [[Electoral district of Denison|Denison, JZ]]
  +
| [[Anton Amalfi]]
  +
| {{linebox3|sdpe|}}
  +
| [[Social Democratic Party of Enderron|Social Democrats]]
  +
| By-election
  +
| Resignation
  +
| 31 July 1999
  +
| [[Chris Hammond]]
  +
| {{linebox3|sdpe|}}
  +
| [[Social Democratic Party of Enderron|Social Democrats]]
  +
|-
  +
| [[Electoral district of Kingston|Kingston, NP]]
  +
| [[Alexander Tam]]
  +
| {{linebox3|sdpe|}}
  +
| [[Social Democratic Party of Enderron|Social Democrats]]
  +
| By-election
  +
| Resignation
  +
| 31 July 1999
  +
| [[Harry White]]
  +
| {{linebox3|sdpe|}}
  +
| [[Social Democratic Party of Enderron|Social Democrats]]
  +
|-
  +
| [[Electoral district of Rockingham South|Rockingham South, CO]]
  +
| [[David Paterson]]
  +
| {{linebox3|sdpe|}}
  +
| [[Social Democratic Party of Enderron|Social Democrats]]
  +
| By-election
  +
| Resignation
  +
| 31 July 1999
  +
| [[Alan Lasseter]]
  +
| {{linebox3|none|}}
  +
| Independent
  +
|-
  +
| [[Electoral district of Taiping|Taiping, LS]]
  +
| [[Daniel S. Kelly]]
  +
| {{linebox3|cpp|}}
  +
| [[Conservative Party (Enderron)|Conservative]]
  +
| By-election
  +
| Resignation
  +
| 31 July 1999
  +
| [[David Lui]]
  +
| {{linebox3|sdpe|}}
  +
| [[Social Democratic Party of Enderron|Social Democrats]]
  +
|-
  +
| [[Electoral district of Roscoe|Roscoe, WS]]
  +
| [[Ian Rafferty]]
  +
| {{linebox3|cpp|}}
  +
| [[Conservative Party (Enderron)|Conservative]]
  +
| colspan="2"|Party switch
  +
| 26 September 1999
  +
| [[Ian Rafferty]]
  +
| {{linebox3|enp|}}
  +
| [[Enderron National Party|National]]
  +
|-
  +
| [[Electoral district of Campbell|Campbell, FL]]
  +
| [[George Roussos]]
  +
| {{linebox3|cpp|}}
  +
| [[Conservative Party (Enderron)|Conservative]]
  +
| colspan="2"|Party switch
  +
| 15 February 2000
  +
| [[George Roussos]]
  +
| {{linebox3|none|}}
  +
| Independent
  +
|-
  +
| [[Electoral district of Harvey|Harvey, TJ]]
  +
| [[Nick Giannakopoulos]]
  +
| {{linebox3|sdpe|}}
  +
| [[Social Democratic Party of Enderron|Social Democrats]]
  +
| By-election
  +
| Resignation
  +
| 15 May 2000
  +
| [[Olivia Hamer]]
  +
| {{linebox3|sdpe|}}
  +
| [[Social Democratic Party of Enderron|Social Democrats]]
  +
|-
  +
| [[Electoral district of Forsythia|Forsythia, NS]]
  +
| [[Chris Daley]]
  +
| {{linebox3|sdpe|}}
  +
| [[Social Democratic Party of Enderron|Social Democrats]]
  +
| By-election
  +
| Death
  +
| 3 March 2001
  +
| [[Fiona Daley]]
  +
| {{linebox3|sdpe|}}
  +
| [[Social Democratic Party of Enderron|Social Democrats]]
  +
|-
  +
| [[Electoral district of Anderson|Anderson, WE]]
  +
| [[Marcel Liew]]
  +
| {{linebox3|sdpe|}}
  +
| [[Social Democratic Party of Enderron|Social Democrats]]
  +
| By-election
  +
| Resignation
  +
| 15 December 2001
  +
| [[Tony Yang]]
  +
| {{linebox3|sdpe|}}
  +
| [[Social Democratic Party of Enderron|Social Democrats]]
  +
|}
  +
  +
==Redistributions==
  +
The [[Enderronian Electoral Commission]] is required, one year after the first sitting day for a new Parliament, to determine the number of members to which each prefecture is entitled. If the number in any prefecture changes, a redistribution will be required in those prefectures.
  +
  +
The Clarkson Government legislated an increase in the Parliament by 25 seats, from 125 to 150 seats, which came into effect at the 2002 election. Demographic statistics for December 2000 released by [[Statistics Enderron]] were used to calculate the determination.
  +
  +
{| class="wikitable" style="margin: auto; text-align: center; font-size: 10pt;"
  +
! Prefecture
  +
! Seats
  +
! Change
  +
|-
  +
| align="left"|[[Wentworth]]
  +
| 23
  +
| [[File:Increase2.png|10px]] 1
  +
|-
  +
| align="left"|[[New Surrey Prefecture|New Surrey]]
  +
| 17
  +
| [[File:Increase2.png|10px]] 2
  +
|-
  +
| align="left"|[[Cooksland Prefecture|Cooksland]]
  +
| 14
  +
| [[File:Increase2.png|10px]] 1
  +
|-
  +
| align="left"|[[New Plymouth]]
  +
| 14
  +
| [[File:Increase2.png|10px]] 1
  +
|-
  +
| align="left"|[[Tojima Prefecture|Tojima]]
  +
| 13
  +
| [[File:Steady2.png|10px]] 0
  +
|-
  +
| align="left"|[[Plymouth Prefecture|Plymouth]]
  +
| 12
  +
| [[File:Increase2.png|10px]] 1
  +
|-
  +
| align="left"|[[Westhaven Prefecture|Westhaven]]
  +
| 11
  +
| [[File:Steady2.png|10px]] 0
  +
|-
  +
| align="left"|[[Flinders Prefecture|Flinders]]
  +
| 9
  +
| [[File:Increase2.png|10px]] 1
  +
|-
  +
| align="left"|[[Janszoon Prefecture|Janszoon]]
  +
| 7
  +
| [[File:Steady2.png|10px]] 0
  +
|-
  +
| align="left"|[[Longshan Prefecture|Longshan]]
  +
| 7
  +
| [[File:Steady2.png|10px]] 0
  +
|-
  +
| align="left"|[[Kaigan Prefecture|Kaigan]]
  +
| 6
  +
| [[File:Increase2.png|10px]] 2
  +
|-
  +
| align="left"|[[Miranda Prefecture|Miranda]]
  +
| 5
  +
| [[File:Steady2.png|10px]] 0
  +
|-
  +
| align="left"|[[New Colorado Prefecture|New Colorado]]
  +
| 5
  +
| [[File:Increase2.png|10px]] 1
  +
|-
  +
| align="left"|[[Lawrencia Prefecture|Lawrencia]]
  +
| 3
  +
| [[File:Steady2.png|10px]] 0
  +
|-
  +
| align="left"|[[Sylvania Prefecture|Sylvania]]
  +
| 2
  +
| [[File:Steady2.png|10px]] 0
  +
|-
  +
| align="left"|[[Sierra Prefecture|Sierra]]
  +
| 1
  +
| [[File:Steady2.png|10px]] 0
  +
|-
  +
| align="left"|[[Greenberg Prefecture|Greenberg]]
  +
| 1
  +
| [[File:Steady2.png|10px]] 0
  +
|-
  +
! Total
  +
! 150
  +
! [[File:Increase2.png|10px]] 10
  +
|}
  +
  +
===Seat changes===
  +
====Abolished seats====
  +
{| class="wikitable" style="margin: auto; text-align: left; font-size: 10pt;"
  +
! Seat
  +
! colspan="2"|Party
  +
! Member
  +
! Change
  +
|-
  +
| [[Electoral district of Cunningham|Cunningham, SY]]
  +
| {{linebox3|sdpe|}}
  +
| [[Social Democratic Party of Enderron|Social Democrats]]
  +
| [[Ray Desmond]]
  +
| Renamed to [[Electoral district of Kin Loong|Kin Loong]]
  +
|-
  +
| [[Electoral district of O'Malley|O'Malley, MA]]
  +
| {{linebox3|sdpe|}}
  +
| [[Social Democratic Party of Enderron|Social Democrats]]
  +
| [[Ed Milburn]]
  +
| Renamed to [[Electoral district of Sutherland|Sutherland]]
  +
|}
  +
  +
====New seats====
  +
{| class="wikitable" style="margin: auto; text-align: left; font-size: 10pt;"
  +
! Seat
  +
! colspan="2"|Notionally held by
  +
|-
  +
| [[Electoral district of Carrera|Carrera, NP]]
  +
| {{linebox3|lpe|}}
  +
| [[Liberal Party of Enderron|Liberal]]
  +
|-
  +
| [[Electoral district of Druitt|Druitt, CO]]
  +
| {{linebox3|sdpe|}}
  +
| [[Social Democratic Party of Enderron|Social Democrats]]
  +
|-
  +
| [[Electoral district of Goulburn|Goulburn, KA]]
  +
| {{linebox3|lpe|}}
  +
| [[Liberal Party of Enderron|Liberal]]
  +
|-
  +
| [[Electoral district of Griffith|Griffith, NC]]
  +
| {{linebox3|sdpe|}}
  +
| [[Social Democratic Party of Enderron|Social Democrats]]
  +
|-
  +
| [[Electoral district of Hawthorne|Hawthorne, PL]]
  +
| {{linebox3|lpe|}}
  +
| [[Liberal Party of Enderron|Liberal]]
  +
|-
  +
| [[Electoral district of Jansen|Jansen, WE]]
  +
| {{linebox3|lpe|}}
  +
| [[Liberal Party of Enderron|Liberal]]
  +
|-
  +
| [[Electoral district of Keppel|Keppel, NS]]
  +
| {{linebox3|sdpe|}}
  +
| [[Social Democratic Party of Enderron|Social Democrats]]
  +
|-
  +
| [[Electoral district of Kin Loong|Kin Loong, SY]]
  +
| {{linebox3|sdpe|}}
  +
| [[Social Democratic Party of Enderron|Social Democrats]]
  +
|-
  +
| [[Electoral district of Lauderdale|Lauderdale, NS]]
  +
| {{linebox3|sdpe|}}
  +
| [[Social Democratic Party of Enderron|Social Democrats]]
  +
|-
  +
| [[Electoral district of Lyons|Lyons, FL]]
  +
| {{linebox3|lpe|}}
  +
| [[Liberal Party of Enderron|Liberal]]
  +
|-
  +
| [[Electoral district of Prince Edward|Prince Edward, KA]]
  +
| {{linebox3|sdpe|}}
  +
| [[Social Democratic Party of Enderron|Social Democrats]]
  +
|-
  +
| [[Electoral district of Sutherland|Sutherland, MA]]
  +
| {{linebox3|sdpe|}}
  +
| [[Social Democratic Party of Enderron|Social Democrats]]
 
|}
 
|}
   
Line 682: Line 1,450:
 
| colspan=4 align="center" bgcolor="#0069B4" |<span style="color:white;">'''Marginal'''</span>
 
| colspan=4 align="center" bgcolor="#0069B4" |<span style="color:white;">'''Marginal'''</span>
 
|-
 
|-
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Electoral district of
+
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Electoral district of Fairfield|Fairfield (NC)]]
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[
+
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Kevin Motta]]
 
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | LPE
 
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | LPE
| style="text-align:center; background:#e6f0f8;" |
+
| style="text-align:center; background:#e6f0f8;" | 0.03
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Electoral district of Hexham|Hexham (NP)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Alex Kastelan]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e6f0f8;" | 0.17
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Electoral district of Kingston|Kingston (NP)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[David Woodhouse]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e6f0f8;" | 0.18
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Electoral district of East Lynn|East Lynn (NP)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Heather Lansberry]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e6f0f8;" | 0.27
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Electoral district of Duyfken|Duyfken (SY)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Margaret Bayliss]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e6f0f8;" | 0.37
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Electoral district of Keppel|Keppel (NS)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Greg Henrickson]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e6f0f8;" | 0.76
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Electoral district of Mulherin|Mulherin (LS)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Carl Wang]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e6f0f8;" | 0.90
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Electoral district of Mount Gilbert|Mount Gilbert (MA)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Tom Tuckerman]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e6f0f8;" | 1.00
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Electoral district of Kamijima|Kamijima (TJ)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Amy Austen]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e6f0f8;" | 1.07
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Electoral district of Burleigh|Burleigh (NP)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Kyle Melman]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e6f0f8;" | 1.16
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Electoral district of Parnell|Parnell (WE)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Gladys Yung]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e6f0f8;" | 1.24
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Electoral district of MacDonnell|MacDonnell (WE)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[John Ifeanyi]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e6f0f8;" | 1.30
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Electoral district of Sutherland|Sutherland (MA)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Ethan Grajales]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e6f0f8;" | 1.59
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Electoral district of Brooklyn|Brooklyn (JZ)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Michelle Evans]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e6f0f8;" | 1.67
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Electoral district of Prince Edward|Prince Edward (KA)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Tony Santoro]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e6f0f8;" | 1.68
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Electoral district of Seven Mile|Seven Mile (PL)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Joe Sandgren]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e6f0f8;" | 1.84
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Electoral district of Mizuoka|Mizuoka (KA)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Julia Zhou]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e6f0f8;" | 1.86
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Electoral district of Palmerston West|Palmerston West (LS)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Marcia Poole]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e6f0f8;" | 2.06
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Electoral district of Rijkens|Rijkens (TJ)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Noburo Ito]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e6f0f8;" | 2.40
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Electoral district of Wolseley|Wolseley (NS)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Gabriel Brusse]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e6f0f8;" | 2.88
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Electoral district of Franklin|Franklin (WE)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Georgia Hickerson]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e6f0f8;" | 3.02
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Electoral district of Dalton|Dalton (MA)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Barden Wu]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e6f0f8;" | 3.36
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Electoral district of White Beach|White Beach (NP)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Mark Ruddock]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e6f0f8;" | 3.57
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Electoral district of Scott|Scott (CO)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Ryan Barr]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e6f0f8;" | 3.73
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Electoral district of Warwick|Warwick (FL)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Theo Stefanos]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e6f0f8;" | 3.84
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Electoral district of Whetstone|Whetstone (WE)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Vert Kirkby]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e6f0f8;" | 3.86
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Electoral district of Wollstonecraft|Wollstonecraft (LR)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Pat Landon]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e6f0f8;" | 4.10
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Electoral district of Gibson|Gibson (PL)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Finn Neyman]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e6f0f8;" | 4.31
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Electoral district of Akagi|Akagi (TJ)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Ayumi Nishikawa]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e6f0f8;" | 4.39
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Electoral district of Carlisle|Carlisle (FL)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Tom Mountbatten]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e6f0f8;" | 4.46
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Electoral district of Cheltenham|Cheltenham (CO)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Angela Walker]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e6f0f8;" | 4.77
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Electoral district of Orange|Orange (WS)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Michael Turnbull]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e6f0f8;" | 4.87
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Electoral district of Docklands|Docklands (WE)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Craig Ahlquist]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e6f0f8;" | 5.71
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Electoral district of Jenkins|Jenkins (WS)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | [[Stephen Vella]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e6f0f8;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e6f0f8;" | 5.75
 
|-
 
|-
 
| colspan=4 align="center" bgcolor="#0069B4" |<span style="color:white;">'''Fairly safe'''</span>
 
| colspan=4 align="center" bgcolor="#0069B4" |<span style="color:white;">'''Fairly safe'''</span>
 
|-
 
|-
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | [[Electoral district of
+
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | [[Electoral district of Palmerston East|Palmerston East (LS)]]
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | [[
+
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | [[Mary Svensson]]
 
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | LPE
 
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | LPE
| style="text-align:center; background:#b3d2e9;" |
+
| style="text-align:center; background:#b3d2e9;" | 6.03
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | [[Electoral district of Epsom|Epsom (NS)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | [[Bernie Deitz]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#b3d2e9;" | 6.48
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | [[Electoral district of Thompson|Thompson (WE)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | [[Andrew Kittinger]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#b3d2e9;" | 6.53
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | [[Electoral district of Mitchell|Mitchell (FL)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | [[William Behrens]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#b3d2e9;" | 6.92
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | [[Electoral district of Jansen|Jansen (WE)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | [[Phoebe Knowles]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#b3d2e9;" | 7.12
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | [[Electoral district of Cowper|Cowper (WS)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | [[Terry Hoekstra]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#b3d2e9;" | 7.42
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | [[Electoral district of Campbell|Campbell (FL)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | [[John Taggart]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#b3d2e9;" | 7.64
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | [[Electoral district of Cook|Cook (PL)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | [[Linda Bergstrom]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#b3d2e9;" | 7.84
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | [[Electoral district of Channel|Channel (PL)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | [[Andrew Armstrong]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#b3d2e9;" | 8.02
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | [[Electoral district of Dawson|Dawson (PL)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | [[Larry Cheslock]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#b3d2e9;" | 8.38
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | [[Electoral district of Wilson|Wilson (CO)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | [[Billy Hayes]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#b3d2e9;" | 8.45
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | [[Electoral district of Sjoberg|Sjoberg (WE)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | [[Paul Wagner]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#b3d2e9;" | 8.54
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | [[Electoral district of Devereaux|Devereaux (NP)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | [[Terrence Goewey]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#b3d2e9;" | 8.70
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | [[Electoral district of Minato|Minato (TJ)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | [[Marilyn Richards]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#b3d2e9;" | 9.30
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | [[Electoral district of Meiling Bay|Meiling Bay (JZ)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | [[Ken Sampson]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#b3d2e9;" | 9.73
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | [[Electoral district of Yamaguchi|Yamaguchi (TJ)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | [[Sakura Mirren]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#b3d2e9;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#b3d2e9;" | 9.80
 
|-
 
|-
 
| colspan=4 align="center" bgcolor="#0069B4" |<span style="color:white;">'''Safe'''</span>
 
| colspan=4 align="center" bgcolor="#0069B4" |<span style="color:white;">'''Safe'''</span>
 
|-
 
|-
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | [[Electoral district of
+
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | [[Electoral district of Hamilton|Hamilton (WS)]]
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | [[
+
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | [[Andrew Kirschbaum]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#80b4da;" | 10.31
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | [[Electoral district of Epping|Epping (NP)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | [[Ryan Steele]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#80b4da;" | 10.50
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | [[Electoral district of Kawayama|Kawayama (TJ)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | [[Jason Higgins]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#80b4da;" | 11.11
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | [[Electoral district of Brighton|Brighton (WE)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | [[Annette O'Neil]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#80b4da;" | 12.00
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | [[Electoral district of Aston|Aston (NP)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | [[Dave Crothers]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#80b4da;" | 12.82
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | [[Electoral district of Olympia|Olympia (WE)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | [[Patrick Tiller]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#80b4da;" | 12.89
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | [[Electoral district of Fuller|Fuller (WS)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | [[Allan Farrell]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#80b4da;" | 13.76
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | [[Electoral district of Southcott|Southcott (WE)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | [[Joe Haberfield]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#80b4da;" | 14.08
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | [[Electoral district of Tregear|Tregear (CO)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | [[David Narayan]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#80b4da;" | 15.09
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | [[Electoral district of Rock Valley|Rock Valley (NS)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | [[Dominic Chao]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#80b4da;" | 15.64
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | [[Electoral district of McLaughlin|McLaughlin (LR)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | [[Jeremy Wansey]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#80b4da;" | 15.89
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | [[Electoral district of Harrison|Harrison (FL)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | [[Matthew Caine]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#80b4da;" | 16.26
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | [[Electoral district of Formosa|Formosa (JZ)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | [[Adrian Coghlan]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#80b4da;" | 16.68
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | [[Electoral district of Bayswater|Bayswater (WE)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | [[Alec Bargerink]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#80b4da;" | 16.92
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | [[Electoral district of Arlington|Arlington (LR)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | [[Ronny Maliszewski]]
 
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | LPE
 
| style="text-align:left; background:#80b4da;" | LPE
| style="text-align:center; background:#80b4da;" |
+
| style="text-align:center; background:#80b4da;" | 17.70
 
|-
 
|-
 
| colspan=4 align="center" bgcolor="#0069B4" |<span style="color:white;">'''Very safe'''</span>
 
| colspan=4 align="center" bgcolor="#0069B4" |<span style="color:white;">'''Very safe'''</span>
 
|-
 
|-
| style="text-align:left; background:#4d96cb;" | [[Electoral district of
+
| style="text-align:left; background:#4d96cb;" | [[Electoral district of Mayfair|Mayfair (CO)]]
| style="text-align:left; background:#4d96cb;" | [[
+
| style="text-align:left; background:#4d96cb;" | [[Ed Calderon]]
 
| style="text-align:left; background:#4d96cb;" | LPE
 
| style="text-align:left; background:#4d96cb;" | LPE
| style="text-align:center; background:#4d96cb;" |
+
| style="text-align:center; background:#4d96cb;" | 20.04
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#4d96cb;" | [[Electoral district of Oxley|Oxley (CO)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#4d96cb;" | [[Terry Schachter]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#4d96cb;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#4d96cb;" | 21.83
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#4d96cb;" | [[Electoral district of Richmond|Richmond (FL)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#4d96cb;" | [[Sam Hofer-Miyamoto]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#4d96cb;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#4d96cb;" | 22.27
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#4d96cb;" | [[Electoral district of Marshall Bay|Marshall Bay (CO)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#4d96cb;" | [[Wally Koepke]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#4d96cb;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#4d96cb;" | 23.95
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#4d96cb;" | [[Electoral district of Lyons|Lyons (FL)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#4d96cb;" | [[Donna Pasquariello]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#4d96cb;" | LPE
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#4d96cb;" | 24.88
 
|}
 
|}
   
Line 715: Line 1,813:
 
| colspan="4" style="text-align:center; background:#D11117;"|<span style="color:white;">'''Marginal'''</span>
 
| colspan="4" style="text-align:center; background:#D11117;"|<span style="color:white;">'''Marginal'''</span>
 
|-
 
|-
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Electoral district of
+
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Electoral district of Waverton|Waverton (NS)]]
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[
+
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Roger Seville]]
 
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | SDP
 
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | SDP
| style="text-align:center; background:#fae7e8;" |
+
| style="text-align:center; background:#fae7e8;" | 0.37
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Electoral district of Essendon|Essendon (FL)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Noah Ramsay]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#fae7e8;" | 0.70
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Electoral district of Devon|Devon (PL)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Kate Salguero]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#fae7e8;" | 0.71
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Electoral district of Hawthorne|Hawthorne (PL)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Rhys Marnell]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#fae7e8;" | 1.27
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Electoral district of Nanhai|Nanhai (PL)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Alex Mikakos]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#fae7e8;" | 1.29
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Electoral district of Edison|Edison (WE)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Michael Jersey]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#fae7e8;" | 1.46
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Electoral district of Griffith|Griffith (NC)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Mike Miyagi]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#fae7e8;" | 1.72
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Electoral district of Hannigan|Hannigan (WE)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[William Wu]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#fae7e8;" | 1.96
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Electoral district of Nishihama|Nishihama (TJ)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Joe Chester]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#fae7e8;" | 2.05
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Electoral district of Kitaoka|Kitaoka (TJ)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Kerry Tokui]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#fae7e8;" | 2.08
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Electoral district of Lakeside|Lakeside (KA)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Marjorie Beckett]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#fae7e8;" | 2.12
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Electoral district of Durston|Durston (TJ)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[John Salvetti]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#fae7e8;" | 2.32
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Electoral district of Lyndhurst|Lyndhurst (NS)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Tom Woodlands]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#fae7e8;" | 2.42
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Electoral district of Forsythia|Forsythia (NS)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Fiona Daley]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#fae7e8;" | 2.48
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Electoral district of Sunnyvale|Sunnyvale (WS)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Caleb McNally]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#fae7e8;" | 2.49
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Electoral district of Jackson|Jackson (WE)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Rick Clarkson]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#fae7e8;" | 2.68
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Electoral district of Rockingham North|Rockingham North (CO)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Jennifer Rooker]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#fae7e8;" | 3.12
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Electoral district of Grey|Grey (NS)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Sam Kerry]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#fae7e8;" | 3.39
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Electoral district of Harvey|Harvey (TJ)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Olivia Hamer]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#fae7e8;" | 3.43
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Electoral district of Rosslea|Rosslea (JZ)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Leon McCullough]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#fae7e8;" | 3.44
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Electoral district of Hacking|Hacking (NS)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Bill Casey-Smith]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#fae7e8;" | 3.46
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Electoral district of Douglas|Douglas (NP)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Mark Serio]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#fae7e8;" | 3.64
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Electoral district of Lauderdale|Lauderdale (NS)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Christian Suhandi]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#fae7e8;" | 3.69
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Electoral district of Taylor|Taylor (NP)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Morgan Lewis]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#fae7e8;" | 3.89
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Electoral district of Rockingham South|Rockingham South (CO)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Janine Wollstonecraft]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#fae7e8;" | 4.17
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Electoral district of St Claire|St Claire (PL)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Matthew Resch]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#fae7e8;" | 4.39
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Electoral district of Hayakita|Hayakita (TJ)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Shane Ishiba]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#fae7e8;" | 4.51
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Electoral district of Linden|Linden (WE)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Kim Flowers]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#fae7e8;" | 4.54
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Electoral district of Carrera|Carrera (NP)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Dan Renwick]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#fae7e8;" | 4.65
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Electoral district of Berkeley|Berkeley (PL)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Bob Crouch]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#fae7e8;" | 4.72
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Electoral district of Strachan|Strachan (NS)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Christine Whitesel]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#fae7e8;" | 5.13
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Electoral district of Druitt|Druitt (CO)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Josh Riley]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#fae7e8;" | 5.19
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Electoral district of Torrens|Torrens (WE)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[David Zeng]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#fae7e8;" | 5.26
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Electoral district of Taiping|Taiping (LS)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[David Lui]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#fae7e8;" | 5.27
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Electoral district of Nanshan|Nanshan (LS)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Hanqing Zhou]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#fae7e8;" | 5.30
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Electoral district of Heathbridge|Heathbridge (WE)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | [[Kim Hernandez]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#fae7e8;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#fae7e8;" | 5.60
 
|-
 
|-
 
| colspan="4" style="text-align:center; background:#D11117;"|<span style="color:white;">'''Fairly safe'''</span>
 
| colspan="4" style="text-align:center; background:#D11117;"|<span style="color:white;">'''Fairly safe'''</span>
 
|-
 
|-
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | [[Electoral district of
+
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | [[Electoral district of Watford|Watford (PL)]]
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | [[
+
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | [[Anne Kempsey]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#f1b8b9;" | 6.14
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | [[Electoral district of Leightonfield|Leightonfield (NS)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | [[Zack Smith]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#f1b8b9;" | 6.27
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | [[Electoral district of Karburgh|Karburgh (NC)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | [[Kelly Chan]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#f1b8b9;" | 6.37
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | [[Electoral district of Lewisham|Lewisham (NP)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | [[Jean Remington]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#f1b8b9;" | 6.88
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | [[Electoral district of Taralga|Taralga (KA)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | [[Andrew Larson]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#f1b8b9;" | 6.97
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | [[Electoral district of West Lynn|West Lynn (NP)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | [[Colin Andersen]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#f1b8b9;" | 7.04
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | [[Electoral district of Tanshui|Tanshui (JZ)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | [[Melanie Spencer]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#f1b8b9;" | 7.19
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | [[Electoral district of Reed|Reed (WE)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | [[Latosha Miyashiro]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#f1b8b9;" | 7.38
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | [[Electoral district of Nottingham|Nottingham (MA)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | [[Mark McNaughton]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#f1b8b9;" | 7.48
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | [[Electoral district of Monash|Monash (NS)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | [[Steve Lomas]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#f1b8b9;" | 7.69
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | [[Electoral district of Merewether|Merewether (NS)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | [[Yvonne Chieng]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#f1b8b9;" | 8.18
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | [[Electoral district of Rockingham Central|Rockingham Central (CO)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | [[Tony Harris]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#f1b8b9;" | 8.58
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | [[Electoral district of Kin Loong|Kin Loong (SY)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | [[Pavel Kyung]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#f1b8b9;" | 8.65
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | [[Electoral district of Coburn|Coburn (NS)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | [[Jim Hadley]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#f1b8b9;" | 8.92
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | [[Electoral district of Jingcheng|Jingcheng (LS)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | [[Anika Kwok]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#f1b8b9;" | 9.55
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | [[Electoral district of Charlestown|Charlestown (NC)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | [[Stacey Coleman]]
 
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | SDP
 
| style="text-align:left; background:#f1b8b9;" | SDP
| style="text-align:center; background:#f1b8b9;" |
+
| style="text-align:center; background:#f1b8b9;" | 9.60
 
|-
 
|-
 
| colspan="4" style="text-align:center; background:#D11117;"|<span style="color:white;">'''Safe'''</span>
 
| colspan="4" style="text-align:center; background:#D11117;"|<span style="color:white;">'''Safe'''</span>
 
|-
 
|-
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | [[Electoral district of
+
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | [[Electoral district of Victoria|Victoria (PL)]]
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | [[
+
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | [[Jennifer Williamson]]
 
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | SDP
 
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | SDP
| style="text-align:center; background:#e8888b;" |
+
| style="text-align:center; background:#e8888b;" | 10.02
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | [[Electoral district of Normanhurst|Normanhurst (CO)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | [[Joyce Redding]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e8888b;" | 10.08
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | [[Electoral district of Denison|Denison (JZ)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | [[Chris Hammond]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e8888b;" | 11.29
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | [[Electoral district of Endeavour|Endeavour (CO)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | [[Thomas van Veen]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e8888b;" | 11.61
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | [[Electoral district of Wentworth|Wentworth (WE)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | [[Janine Gosling]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e8888b;" | 12.13
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | [[Electoral district of Dover|Dover (NC)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | [[Alex Dos Santos]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e8888b;" | 12.25
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | [[Electoral district of Kensington|Kensington (WE)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | [[Sian O'Dwyer]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e8888b;" | 12.44
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | [[Electoral district of Chung'an|Chung'an (LS)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | [[Jason Huynh]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e8888b;" | 12.67
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | [[Electoral district of Bexley|Bexley (WE)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | [[Anthony Faccinto]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e8888b;" | 13.06
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | [[Electoral district of Kingscliffe|Kingscliffe (JZ)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | [[Michelle Chew]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e8888b;" | 14.08
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | [[Electoral district of Shirakawa Central|Shirakawa Central (TJ)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | [[Dallas Oishi]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e8888b;" | 14.33
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | [[Electoral district of Reedijk|Reedijk (CO)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | [[Tom Vickery]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e8888b;" | 14.39
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | [[Electoral district of Port William|Port William (WS)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | [[Bert Thompson]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e8888b;" | 14.69
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | [[Electoral district of Stewart|Stewart (NP)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | [[Rick Perras]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e8888b;" | 15.29
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | [[Electoral district of Anderson|Anderson (WE)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | [[Tony Yang]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e8888b;" | 15.83
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | [[Electoral district of Shirakawa South|Shirakawa South (TJ)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | [[Hiroko Layton]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#e8888b;" | SDP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#e8888b;" | 18.22
 
|-
 
|-
 
| colspan="4" style="text-align:center; background:#D11117;"|<span style="color:white;">'''Very safe'''</span>
 
| colspan="4" style="text-align:center; background:#D11117;"|<span style="color:white;">'''Very safe'''</span>
 
|-
 
|-
| style="text-align:left; background:#df585d;" | [[Electoral district of
+
| style="text-align:left; background:#df585d;" | [[Electoral district of Woodleigh|Woodleigh (NS)]]
| style="text-align:left; background:#df585d;" | [[
+
| style="text-align:left; background:#df585d;" | [[Aaron Pearson]]
 
| style="text-align:left; background:#df585d;" | SDP
 
| style="text-align:left; background:#df585d;" | SDP
| style="text-align:center; background:#df585d;" |
+
| style="text-align:center; background:#df585d;" | 20.14
 
|-
 
|-
 
| COLSPAN=4 align="center" |'''CROSSBENCH SEATS (11)'''
 
| COLSPAN=4 align="center" |'''CROSSBENCH SEATS (11)'''
 
|-
 
|-
| style="text-align:left; background:#92b599;" | [[Electoral district of
+
| style="text-align:left; background:#92b599;" | [[Electoral district of Roscoe|Roscoe (WS)]]
| style="text-align:left; background:#92b599;" | [[
+
| style="text-align:left; background:#92b599;" | [[Ian Rafferty]]
 
| style="text-align:left; background:#92b599;" | ENP
 
| style="text-align:left; background:#92b599;" | ENP
| style="text-align:center; background:#92b599;" |
+
| style="text-align:center; background:#92b599;" | 0.13
 
|-
 
|-
| style="text-align:left; background:#D6D6D6;" | [[Electoral district of
+
| style="text-align:left; background:#92b599;" | [[Electoral district of Middle Range|Middle Range (WS)]]
| style="text-align:left; background:#D6D6D6;" | [[
+
| style="text-align:left; background:#92b599;" | [[Scott Rogerson]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#92b599;" | ENP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#92b599;" | 1.43
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#92b599;" | [[Electoral district of Macquarie|Macquarie (KA)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#92b599;" | [[John Maine]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#92b599;" | ENP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#92b599;" | 1.44
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#92b599;" | [[Electoral district of Greenberg|Greenberg (GB)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#92b599;" | [[Stephanie Lorenzo]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#92b599;" | ENP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#92b599;" | 1.63
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#92b599;" | [[Electoral district of Forrest|Forrest (MA)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#92b599;" | [[Pete Bartlett]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#92b599;" | ENP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#92b599;" | 2.37
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#D6D6D6;" | [[Electoral district of Braddon|Braddon (NS)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#D6D6D6;" | [[Geoff Martin]]
 
| style="text-align:left; background:#D6D6D6;" | IND
 
| style="text-align:left; background:#D6D6D6;" | IND
| style="text-align:center; background:#D6D6D6;" |
+
| style="text-align:center; background:#D6D6D6;" | 3.87
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#92b599;" | [[Electoral district of Sierra|Sierra (SA)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#92b599;" | [[Vince Stanton]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#92b599;" | ENP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#92b599;" | 4.57
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#92b599;" | [[Electoral district of Goulburn|Goulburn (KA)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#92b599;" | [[Rick Silberman]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#92b599;" | ENP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#92b599;" | 5.70
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#92b599;" | [[Electoral district of Fairfax|Fairfax (FL)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#92b599;" | [[Martin Brooks]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#92b599;" | ENP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#92b599;" | 7.86
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#D6D6D6;" | [[Electoral district of Nord|Nord (WS)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#D6D6D6;" | [[Jack Berg]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#D6D6D6;" | IND
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#D6D6D6;" | 8.71
  +
|-
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#92b599;" | [[Electoral district of Kennedy|Kennedy (WS)]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#92b599;" | [[Jack Whitham]]
  +
| style="text-align:left; background:#92b599;" | ENP
  +
| style="text-align:center; background:#92b599;" | 10.49
 
|}
 
|}
 
{{-}}
 
{{-}}

Latest revision as of 06:04, 16 January 2023

EnderronFlag

1998 19 October 2002 2006

All 150 seats in the Enderronian Parliament
76 seats needed for a majority
Turnout 15,339,697 (92.87%) (Decrease2 0.78pp)
WallyKoepke RickClarkson JackWhitham
Leader Wally Koepke Rick Clarkson Jack Whitham
Party Liberal Social Democrats National
Leader since 19 February 2000 1 December 1997 29 September 1998
Leader's seat Marshall Bay (CO) Jackson (WE) Kennedy (WS)
Last election 45 seats, 31.79%[1] 88 seats, 47.09% 5 seats, 3.13%
Seats won 70 69 9
Seat change Increase2 25 Decrease2 19 Increase2 4
Popular vote 5,937,997 6,361,372 951,061
Percentage 38.71% 41.47% 6.20%
Swing Increase2 6.92pp Decrease2 5.62pp Increase2 3.07pp
TPP 50.87% 49.13%
TPP swing Increase2 5.13pp Decrease2 5.13pp

File:EnderronElectionMap2002.png
Winning party by electorate

Prime Minister before election Elected Prime Minister
Rick Clarkson
Social Democrats
Wally Koepke
Liberal

A federal election was held in Enderron on Saturday 19 October 2002 to elect the 150 members of the 15th Enderronian Parliament.

The result was a hung parliament, the first since 1986. The incumbent third-term Social Democratic Party government, led by Prime Minister Rick Clarkson, suffered a loss of 19 seats and a 5.13 percent swing on two-party-preferred terms against the newly amalgamated Liberal Party of Enderron, led by Wally Koepke and formed by the merger between the Conservative Party and the Liberal Democrats. The Enderron National Party ended up being the kingmaker, with neither the SDP nor Liberals mathematically being able to govern without the support of the party. After one week of negotiations, the National Party agreed to form a coalition with the Liberal Party, with leader Jack Whitham becoming Deputy Prime Minister. Thus, this election marked the end of the 12-year VandenbergClarkson Social Democratic Government.

In the months leading up to the election, the Social Democrats held a narrow but steady lead in opinion polling, and the election result was expected to be a slim majority government for the party. In the final weeks of the election campaign, the poll results tightened and most analysts predicted a hung parliament, which proved to be the case in the final result. The Liberals managed to edge out a one-seat plurality, winning 70 seats to the Social Democrats' 69. With neither party winning a majority, both turned to the agrarian National Party for negotiations. The Liberals initially refused to serve in a coalition, insisting on leading a minority government with confidence and supply from the Nationals, but relented after the Nationals threatened to force a snap election to break the deadlock. It was the first such coalition government since 1986 and only the third in Enderronian history (excluding the wartime coalition governments of 1914–1916 and 1940–1945).

Results

69 2 9 70
Social Democrats I Nat Liberal
EP2002
Party Votes % Swing Seats +/−
Social Democrats 6,361,372 41.47 Decrease2 5.62 69 Decrease2 19
Liberal 5,937,997 38.71 Increase2 6.92 70 Increase2 25
National 951,061 6.20 Increase2 3.07 9 Increase2 4
Greens 895,838 5.84 Increase2 0.54 0 Steady2 0
Democrats 645,801 4.21 Decrease2 3.04 0 Steady2 0
Other 547,627 3.57 Decrease2 1.87 2 Steady2 0
Two-party-preferred vote
Liberal 7,803,304 50.87 Increase2 5.13 70 Increase2 25
Social Democrats 7,536,393 49.13 Decrease2 5.13 69 Decrease2 19
Total 15,339,697 100 150

Independents: Jack Berg, Geoff Martin

First preference vote
Social Democrats
  
41.47%
Liberal
  
38.71%
National
  
6.20%
Greens
  
5.84%
Democrats
  
4.21%
Other
  
3.57%
Two-party-preferred vote
Liberal
  
50.87%
Social Democrats
  
49.13%
Seats in Parliament
Liberal
  
46.67%
Social Democrats
  
46.00%
National
  
6.00%
Independent
  
1.33%

Results by prefecture

Party WE NS CO NP TJ PL WS FL JZ LS KA MA NC LR SY SA GB Total
Liberal Seats: 12 4 7 8 6 5 5 7 3 3 2 3 1 3 1 0 0 70
Vote: 38.71
Social Democrats Seats: 11 12 7 6 7 7 2 1 4 4 2 1 4 0 1 0 0 69
Vote: 41.47
National Seats: 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 1 9
Vote: 6.20
Other Seats: 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Vote: 13.62
Total seats 23 17 14 14 13 12 11 9 7 7 6 5 5 3 2 1 1 150

Results by region

Party Central West East North Total
Liberal Seats: 35 19 11 5 70
Vote: 38.71
Social Democrats Seats: 40 10 13 6 69
Vote: 41.47
National Seats: 0 4 1 4 9
Vote: 6.20
Other Seats: 1 1 0 0 2
Vote: 13.62
Total seats 76 34 25 15 150

Seats changing hands

Seat Pre-2002 Swing Post-2002
Party Member Margin Margin Member Party
Akagi, TJ Social Democrats Jack Saito 0.10 4.49 4.39 Ayumi Nishikawa Liberal
Braddon, NS Liberal Michael Zehnder 0.94 N/A 3.87 Geoff Martin Independent
Brooklyn, JZ Social Democrats Jonathan Lee 7.70 9.37 1.67 Michelle Evans Liberal
Burleigh, NP Social Democrats James Simmons 5.50 6.66 1.16 Kyle Melman Liberal
Campbell, FL Independent George Roussos 3.17 N/A 7.64 John Taggart Liberal
Carrera Liberal notional – new seat 4.52 9.17 4.65 Dan Renwick Social Democrats
Channel, PL Social Democrats Roy Tennyson 0.93 8.95 8.02 Andrew Armstrong Liberal
Cheltenham Social Democrats Roger Caines 6.08 10.85 4.77 Angela Walker Liberal
Cook, PL Social Democrats Colin McDonough 1.81 9.65 7.84 Linda Bergstrom Liberal
Dalton, MA Social Democrats Russ Jackson 3.23 6.89 3.36 Barden Wu Liberal
Devon, PL Liberal Florence Kennett 5.91 6.62 0.71 Kate Salguero Social Democrats
Docklands, WE Social Democrats Christine Sokolowski 0.53 6.24 5.71 Craig Ahlquist Liberal
Duyfken, SY Social Democrats Ben Horgan 2.23 2.60 0.37 Margaret Bayliss Liberal
East Lynn, NP Social Democrats Lionel Wicks 13.23 13.50 0.27 Heather Lansberry Liberal
Fairfield, NC Social Democrats Mike Miyagi 5.47 5.50 0.03 Kevin Motta Liberal
Forrest, MA Social Democrats Michelle Lawrie 2.20 N/A 2.37 Pete Bartlett National
Goulburn, KA Liberal notional – new seat 6.96 12.66 5.70 Rick Silberman National
Hawthorne, PL Liberal notional – new seat 4.41 5.68 1.27 Rhys Marnell Social Democrats
Hexham, NP Social Democrats Murph Hackett 4.96 5.13 0.17 Alex Kastelan Liberal
Jenkins, WS Social Democrats Robert Weis 0.89 6.64 5.75 Stephen Vella Liberal
Kamijima, TJ Social Democrats Karen Hara 8.17 9.24 1.07 Amy Austen Liberal
Keppel, NS Social Democrats notional – new seat 2.65 3.41 0.76 Greg Henrickson Liberal
Kingston, NP Social Democrats Harry White 3.36* 3.54 0.18 David Woodhouse Liberal
Lakeside, KA Liberal Jerry McCartney 2.52 4.64 2.12 Marjorie Beckett Social Democrats
MacDonnell, WE Social Democrats Damian Firestone 2.24 3.54 1.30 John Ifeanyi Liberal
Macquarie, KA Social Democrats Marjorie Beckett 2.92 N/A 1.44 John Maine National
Middle Range, WS Liberal Mark Connors 5.11 N/A 1.43 Scott Rogerson National
Mizuoka, KA Social Democrats Paul Jovanovski 3.63 5.49 1.86 Julia Zhou Liberal
Mount Gilbert, MA National Eric Wojtczak 5.31 N/A 1.00 Tom Tuckerman Liberal
Mulherin, LS Social Democrats Justin Pence 3.88 4.78 0.90 Carl Wang Liberal
Orange, WS Social Democrats Sandra Wouters 1.69 6.56 4.87 Michael Turnbull Liberal
Parnell, WE Social Democrats Steve Dallen 1.01 2.25 1.24 Gladys Yung Liberal
Prince Edward, KA Social Democrats notional – new seat 3.79 5.47 1.68 Tony Santoro Liberal
Seven Mile, PL Social Democrats Al Howard 3.05 4.89 1.84 Joe Sandgren Liberal
Sutherland, MA Social Democrats notional – new seat 5.85 7.44 1.59 Ethan Grajales Liberal
Warwick, FL Social Democrats Kristy Hawke 2.36 6.20 3.84 Theo Stefanos Liberal
West Lynn, NP Independent Kuan-lin Hsiung 0.75 N/A 7.04 Colin Andersen Social Democrats
White Beach, NP Social Democrats Robert Mahon 0.15 3.72 3.57 Mark Ruddock Liberal
Wollstonecraft, LR Social Democrats Angus Lee 3.76 7.86 4.10 Pat Landon Liberal
Wolseley, NS Social Democrats Brian Morphett 6.75 9.63 2.88 Gabriel Brusse Liberal
  • Kingston, NP, was won by Alexander Tam of the Social Democrats at the previous election, but he resigned in 1999 and was succeeded by Harry White at the ensuing by-election. The margin listed above is the by-election margin.

Analysis of results

The election result was a hung parliament for the first time since 1986, which coincidentally was also the last time a conservative government came to power.

The Liberals gained many seats in areas previously considered relatively strong for the Social Democrats, especially in urban areas. The party won a majority of seats in Wentworth and New Plymouth for the first time since 1962 and 1966 respectively. The Liberals also made significant inroads into Eastern Enderron, and won a seat in New Colorado for the first time since 1986.

Background

Parties

Name Ideology Party leader Seats
1998 result At dissolution
Social Democratic Party Social democracy Rick Clarkson
88 / 140
88 / 140
Liberal Party Conservative liberalism Wally Koepke
45 / 140
42 / 140
Enderron National Party Agrarianism Jack Whitham
5 / 140
6 / 140
Independents[2]
2 / 140
4 / 140

Previous election

The Social Democratic Party, which had governed Enderron since 1990, was re-elected with a convincing majority at the 1998 federal election against the Conservative Party and Liberal Democrats, which had formed an electoral alliance in 1997.

Parliamentary term

Having been defeated in a landslide at two consecutive elections, the Conservatives under leader Wally Koepke rallied for a full merger with the smaller Liberal Democrats to avoid further cannibalising the centre-right vote, and to counter the impact of the far-right Enderron Democrats. This merger eventually occurred in February 2000, with the two parties amalgamating to become the Liberal Party of Enderron.

The Social Democrats enjoyed a significant honeymoon period following their re-election, but support steadily decreased throughout 1999 and the party's lead had all but evaporated by April 2000, thanks to dissatisfaction with government's economic reform program and increasing petrol prices. The SDP experienced mixed results at a series of by-elections in 1999, winning the seat of Taiping back from the opposition Conservatives, but losing Rockingham South to a left-wing independent and suffering negative swings in Kingston and Denison. Clarkson's attempts at introducing a goods and services tax (GST) and a tax hike for wealthier Enderronians were particularly unpopular. The Liberal Party took a small lead in the polls and largely retained such a lead until late 2001, when public opinion swung back towards the Social Democrats following the September 11 attacks and Enderron's entry into the War in Afghanistan.

Retiring MPs

Name Party Seat Reason Term in office
Samantha Belgrave Social Democrats Tanshui, JZ Retirement 1994–2002
Ray Desmond Cunningham, SY[3] Lost preselection 1994–2002
Richard Gaiser Torrens, WE Retirement 1978–2002
Jenny Gillespie Kitaoka, TJ Retirement 1994–2002
John Gillmartin Linden, WE Retirement 1990–2002
Jim Halston Shirakawa South, TJ Retirement 1950–2002
Simon Kempton Essendon, FL Retirement 1990–2002
Wendy Kuroda Hayakita, TJ Retirement 1993–2002
Jack Saito Akagi, TJ Retirement 1982–1986, 1994–2002
Michael J. Wang Douglas, NP Retirement 1992–2002
Stephanie Whedon Endeavour, CO Retirement 1994–2002
Lionel Wicks West Lynn, NP Retirement 1970–2002
Frederick Bosman Liberal Arlington, LR Retirement 1962–2002
Jonathan Coker Formosa, JZ Lost preselection 1994–2002
Ashley Garrison Rock Valley, NS Retirement 1994–2002
Florence Kennett Devon, PL Retirement 1994–2002
Hank Murdoch Yamaguchi, TJ Retirement 1994–2002
Dominic Whyte Kawayama, TJ Retirement 1994–2002
Darrell Dexter National Sierra, SA Retirement 1982–1986, 1995–2002

Changes in parliamentary composition

Seat Before Change After
Member Party Type Reason Date Member Party
Denison, JZ Anton Amalfi Social Democrats By-election Resignation 31 July 1999 Chris Hammond Social Democrats
Kingston, NP Alexander Tam Social Democrats By-election Resignation 31 July 1999 Harry White Social Democrats
Rockingham South, CO David Paterson Social Democrats By-election Resignation 31 July 1999 Alan Lasseter Independent
Taiping, LS Daniel S. Kelly Conservative By-election Resignation 31 July 1999 David Lui Social Democrats
Roscoe, WS Ian Rafferty Conservative Party switch 26 September 1999 Ian Rafferty National
Campbell, FL George Roussos Conservative Party switch 15 February 2000 George Roussos Independent
Harvey, TJ Nick Giannakopoulos Social Democrats By-election Resignation 15 May 2000 Olivia Hamer Social Democrats
Forsythia, NS Chris Daley Social Democrats By-election Death 3 March 2001 Fiona Daley Social Democrats
Anderson, WE Marcel Liew Social Democrats By-election Resignation 15 December 2001 Tony Yang Social Democrats

Redistributions

The Enderronian Electoral Commission is required, one year after the first sitting day for a new Parliament, to determine the number of members to which each prefecture is entitled. If the number in any prefecture changes, a redistribution will be required in those prefectures.

The Clarkson Government legislated an increase in the Parliament by 25 seats, from 125 to 150 seats, which came into effect at the 2002 election. Demographic statistics for December 2000 released by Statistics Enderron were used to calculate the determination.

Prefecture Seats Change
Wentworth 23 Increase2 1
New Surrey 17 Increase2 2
Cooksland 14 Increase2 1
New Plymouth 14 Increase2 1
Tojima 13 Steady2 0
Plymouth 12 Increase2 1
Westhaven 11 Steady2 0
Flinders 9 Increase2 1
Janszoon 7 Steady2 0
Longshan 7 Steady2 0
Kaigan 6 Increase2 2
Miranda 5 Steady2 0
New Colorado 5 Increase2 1
Lawrencia 3 Steady2 0
Sylvania 2 Steady2 0
Sierra 1 Steady2 0
Greenberg 1 Steady2 0
Total 150 Increase2 10

Seat changes

Abolished seats

Seat Party Member Change
Cunningham, SY Social Democrats Ray Desmond Renamed to Kin Loong
O'Malley, MA Social Democrats Ed Milburn Renamed to Sutherland

New seats

Seat Notionally held by
Carrera, NP Liberal
Druitt, CO Social Democrats
Goulburn, KA Liberal
Griffith, NC Social Democrats
Hawthorne, PL Liberal
Jansen, WE Liberal
Keppel, NS Social Democrats
Kin Loong, SY Social Democrats
Lauderdale, NS Social Democrats
Lyons, FL Liberal
Prince Edward, KA Social Democrats
Sutherland, MA Social Democrats

Pendulum

LIBERAL SEATS (70)
Marginal
Fairfield (NC) Kevin Motta LPE 0.03
Hexham (NP) Alex Kastelan LPE 0.17
Kingston (NP) David Woodhouse LPE 0.18
East Lynn (NP) Heather Lansberry LPE 0.27
Duyfken (SY) Margaret Bayliss LPE 0.37
Keppel (NS) Greg Henrickson LPE 0.76
Mulherin (LS) Carl Wang LPE 0.90
Mount Gilbert (MA) Tom Tuckerman LPE 1.00
Kamijima (TJ) Amy Austen LPE 1.07
Burleigh (NP) Kyle Melman LPE 1.16
Parnell (WE) Gladys Yung LPE 1.24
MacDonnell (WE) John Ifeanyi LPE 1.30
Sutherland (MA) Ethan Grajales LPE 1.59
Brooklyn (JZ) Michelle Evans LPE 1.67
Prince Edward (KA) Tony Santoro LPE 1.68
Seven Mile (PL) Joe Sandgren LPE 1.84
Mizuoka (KA) Julia Zhou LPE 1.86
Palmerston West (LS) Marcia Poole LPE 2.06
Rijkens (TJ) Noburo Ito LPE 2.40
Wolseley (NS) Gabriel Brusse LPE 2.88
Franklin (WE) Georgia Hickerson LPE 3.02
Dalton (MA) Barden Wu LPE 3.36
White Beach (NP) Mark Ruddock LPE 3.57
Scott (CO) Ryan Barr LPE 3.73
Warwick (FL) Theo Stefanos LPE 3.84
Whetstone (WE) Vert Kirkby LPE 3.86
Wollstonecraft (LR) Pat Landon LPE 4.10
Gibson (PL) Finn Neyman LPE 4.31
Akagi (TJ) Ayumi Nishikawa LPE 4.39
Carlisle (FL) Tom Mountbatten LPE 4.46
Cheltenham (CO) Angela Walker LPE 4.77
Orange (WS) Michael Turnbull LPE 4.87
Docklands (WE) Craig Ahlquist LPE 5.71
Jenkins (WS) Stephen Vella LPE 5.75
Fairly safe
Palmerston East (LS) Mary Svensson LPE 6.03
Epsom (NS) Bernie Deitz LPE 6.48
Thompson (WE) Andrew Kittinger LPE 6.53
Mitchell (FL) William Behrens LPE 6.92
Jansen (WE) Phoebe Knowles LPE 7.12
Cowper (WS) Terry Hoekstra LPE 7.42
Campbell (FL) John Taggart LPE 7.64
Cook (PL) Linda Bergstrom LPE 7.84
Channel (PL) Andrew Armstrong LPE 8.02
Dawson (PL) Larry Cheslock LPE 8.38
Wilson (CO) Billy Hayes LPE 8.45
Sjoberg (WE) Paul Wagner LPE 8.54
Devereaux (NP) Terrence Goewey LPE 8.70
Minato (TJ) Marilyn Richards LPE 9.30
Meiling Bay (JZ) Ken Sampson LPE 9.73
Yamaguchi (TJ) Sakura Mirren LPE 9.80
Safe
Hamilton (WS) Andrew Kirschbaum LPE 10.31
Epping (NP) Ryan Steele LPE 10.50
Kawayama (TJ) Jason Higgins LPE 11.11
Brighton (WE) Annette O'Neil LPE 12.00
Aston (NP) Dave Crothers LPE 12.82
Olympia (WE) Patrick Tiller LPE 12.89
Fuller (WS) Allan Farrell LPE 13.76
Southcott (WE) Joe Haberfield LPE 14.08
Tregear (CO) David Narayan LPE 15.09
Rock Valley (NS) Dominic Chao LPE 15.64
McLaughlin (LR) Jeremy Wansey LPE 15.89
Harrison (FL) Matthew Caine LPE 16.26
Formosa (JZ) Adrian Coghlan LPE 16.68
Bayswater (WE) Alec Bargerink LPE 16.92
Arlington (LR) Ronny Maliszewski LPE 17.70
Very safe
Mayfair (CO) Ed Calderon LPE 20.04
Oxley (CO) Terry Schachter LPE 21.83
Richmond (FL) Sam Hofer-Miyamoto LPE 22.27
Marshall Bay (CO) Wally Koepke LPE 23.95
Lyons (FL) Donna Pasquariello LPE 24.88
SOCIAL DEMOCRATIC SEATS (69)
Marginal
Waverton (NS) Roger Seville SDP 0.37
Essendon (FL) Noah Ramsay SDP 0.70
Devon (PL) Kate Salguero SDP 0.71
Hawthorne (PL) Rhys Marnell SDP 1.27
Nanhai (PL) Alex Mikakos SDP 1.29
Edison (WE) Michael Jersey SDP 1.46
Griffith (NC) Mike Miyagi SDP 1.72
Hannigan (WE) William Wu SDP 1.96
Nishihama (TJ) Joe Chester SDP 2.05
Kitaoka (TJ) Kerry Tokui SDP 2.08
Lakeside (KA) Marjorie Beckett SDP 2.12
Durston (TJ) John Salvetti SDP 2.32
Lyndhurst (NS) Tom Woodlands SDP 2.42
Forsythia (NS) Fiona Daley SDP 2.48
Sunnyvale (WS) Caleb McNally SDP 2.49
Jackson (WE) Rick Clarkson SDP 2.68
Rockingham North (CO) Jennifer Rooker SDP 3.12
Grey (NS) Sam Kerry SDP 3.39
Harvey (TJ) Olivia Hamer SDP 3.43
Rosslea (JZ) Leon McCullough SDP 3.44
Hacking (NS) Bill Casey-Smith SDP 3.46
Douglas (NP) Mark Serio SDP 3.64
Lauderdale (NS) Christian Suhandi SDP 3.69
Taylor (NP) Morgan Lewis SDP 3.89
Rockingham South (CO) Janine Wollstonecraft SDP 4.17
St Claire (PL) Matthew Resch SDP 4.39
Hayakita (TJ) Shane Ishiba SDP 4.51
Linden (WE) Kim Flowers SDP 4.54
Carrera (NP) Dan Renwick SDP 4.65
Berkeley (PL) Bob Crouch SDP 4.72
Strachan (NS) Christine Whitesel SDP 5.13
Druitt (CO) Josh Riley SDP 5.19
Torrens (WE) David Zeng SDP 5.26
Taiping (LS) David Lui SDP 5.27
Nanshan (LS) Hanqing Zhou SDP 5.30
Heathbridge (WE) Kim Hernandez SDP 5.60
Fairly safe
Watford (PL) Anne Kempsey SDP 6.14
Leightonfield (NS) Zack Smith SDP 6.27
Karburgh (NC) Kelly Chan SDP 6.37
Lewisham (NP) Jean Remington SDP 6.88
Taralga (KA) Andrew Larson SDP 6.97
West Lynn (NP) Colin Andersen SDP 7.04
Tanshui (JZ) Melanie Spencer SDP 7.19
Reed (WE) Latosha Miyashiro SDP 7.38
Nottingham (MA) Mark McNaughton SDP 7.48
Monash (NS) Steve Lomas SDP 7.69
Merewether (NS) Yvonne Chieng SDP 8.18
Rockingham Central (CO) Tony Harris SDP 8.58
Kin Loong (SY) Pavel Kyung SDP 8.65
Coburn (NS) Jim Hadley SDP 8.92
Jingcheng (LS) Anika Kwok SDP 9.55
Charlestown (NC) Stacey Coleman SDP 9.60
Safe
Victoria (PL) Jennifer Williamson SDP 10.02
Normanhurst (CO) Joyce Redding SDP 10.08
Denison (JZ) Chris Hammond SDP 11.29
Endeavour (CO) Thomas van Veen SDP 11.61
Wentworth (WE) Janine Gosling SDP 12.13
Dover (NC) Alex Dos Santos SDP 12.25
Kensington (WE) Sian O'Dwyer SDP 12.44
Chung'an (LS) Jason Huynh SDP 12.67
Bexley (WE) Anthony Faccinto SDP 13.06
Kingscliffe (JZ) Michelle Chew SDP 14.08
Shirakawa Central (TJ) Dallas Oishi SDP 14.33
Reedijk (CO) Tom Vickery SDP 14.39
Port William (WS) Bert Thompson SDP 14.69
Stewart (NP) Rick Perras SDP 15.29
Anderson (WE) Tony Yang SDP 15.83
Shirakawa South (TJ) Hiroko Layton SDP 18.22
Very safe
Woodleigh (NS) Aaron Pearson SDP 20.14
CROSSBENCH SEATS (11)
Roscoe (WS) Ian Rafferty ENP 0.13
Middle Range (WS) Scott Rogerson ENP 1.43
Macquarie (KA) John Maine ENP 1.44
Greenberg (GB) Stephanie Lorenzo ENP 1.63
Forrest (MA) Pete Bartlett ENP 2.37
Braddon (NS) Geoff Martin IND 3.87
Sierra (SA) Vince Stanton ENP 4.57
Goulburn (KA) Rick Silberman ENP 5.70
Fairfax (FL) Martin Brooks ENP 7.86
Nord (WS) Jack Berg IND 8.71
Kennedy (WS) Jack Whitham ENP 10.49


Opinion polling

Graphical summary

EnderronPolls2002Primary

A 3-point average trend line of aggregate primary vote poll results since the previous election, with each line corresponding to a political party.

EnderronPolls2002TPP

A 3-point average trend line of aggregate two-party-preferred vote poll results since the previous election; red – Social Democrats, blue – Liberals


References

  1. Compared to the seat and vote total of the Conservative–Liberal Alliance.
  2. Independents who sat in Parliament as of the end of the parliamentary term were Jack Berg, Kuan-lin Hsiung, Alan Lasseter and George Roussos.
  3. Electorate abolished